Football
2025 NFL Running Back Advanced Fantasy Football Analytics
Welcome Back! Big Guy Fantasy Sports is thrilled to bring you another year of the best in NFL consistency rankings and championship fantasy football strategy.
Bob Lung takes you to the next level by analyzing and separating the Running Backs with similar consistency and identifying who is more valuable to your NFL Fantasy Football teams.
Consistency in Fantasy Football is a crucial factor in helping Fantasy owners make more informed decisions about who to draft and who to start or sit during the season. If you’re new to the Consistency concept in Fantasy Football, I highly recommend reading some of the Introduction articles located on the home page. If you’re already a reader and follower of the site, then you were introduced to this new concept last year.
The calculation is called: xConsistency.
You can find & follow Bob on Twitter at @bob_lung.
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The xConsistency Formula:
(Total Fantasy Points Scored / Total Games Played) X Clutch Rate
The xConsistency factor will separate two players with similar Consistency but different Total Points Score due to either fewer games or Clutch performances with fewer points scored. For example, let’s take a look at two players last year with similar total points:
| Player Name | Total Points | Rank | Total CG | Total GP | CR | xCon | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Taylor | 245.70 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 79% | 13.86 | 8 |
| David Montgomery | 222.75 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 86% | 13.68 | 9 |
Here are two running backs that are not very close in total points. However, they have a xConsistency factor that is fairly close to each other. Yet, at this point, Jonathan Taylor’s ADP is RB9, while David Montgomery’s ADP is RB21. There’s a difference of almost three rounds. This is definitely what makes the xConsistency another important tool in your Fantasy prep.
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Advanced Fantasy Football Analytics
The xConsistency formula and 2024 chart above help provide a truer value for Consistency. Its role is to help Fantasy owners find a new edge in their draft planning. The Clutch Rate isn’t dead by any stretch. And should continue to be used in your analysis during your draft prep and weekly start/sit decisions.
