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Every week, Colby Conway and Bob Lung use the Forecaster Consistency Tool to help you win your Fantasy Football Prop Bets! Follow them @colbyconway and @bob_lung. If you are looking for some weekly NFL player props, you’ve come to the right place! There are ample player props out there, but Bob Lung and Colby Conway provide their favorite player props to target for this week’s action across the National Football League.
The consistency concept can be applied to player props, just like it has for daily fantasy sports and seasonal fantasy football, so find those consistent players to give yourself the best chance of winning some money betting on player props.
NFL Divisional Round Prop Picks – 1/17/26
Wild Card Week – NFL Prop Picks
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C.J. Stroud OVER 0.5 Interceptions
Stroud had a really, really bad interception last week, and his road struggles continue. Seven of his eight interceptions during the regular season came on the road. Furthermore, seven of his eight interceptions in the regular season came against playoff teams! His 4.3% turnover-worthy play rate on the road in the regular season far exceeded his 1.1% mark at home, per FantasyPoints Data. Without Nico Collins, Houston won’t have its best receiver, so we could see Stroud throwing to some tight windows, and at some point, one of them will end up in the hands of the Patriots defense.
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Kenneth Walker OVER 57.5 Rushing Yards
Walker closed out the 2025 regular season on a high note, averaging 82.7 rushing yards per game and 5.9 yards per carry on the ground. Since Week 12, the 49ers rank 30th in explosive run rate allowed, 27th in yards before contact per attempt, and 17th in yards after contact per attempt, per FantasyPoints Data. He’s averaged 61 rushing yards per game in wins this season, so if you like Seattle to win, expect Walker to be heavily involved in the offense. Yes, Zach Charbonnet is in the mix, and he always will be, but Walker is a better pure runner, and he should take advantage of a banged-up San Francisco defense.
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Brandin Cooks OVER 2.5 Receptions
Someone has to catch the ball when Josh Allen throws it! He now has at least three receptions in back-to-back games, and with all the injuries at receiver for the Bills, the team has no choice but to trust the veteran. He will see some Patrick Surtain, which is less than ideal, but they move him around, so he’ll get some snaps away from him. Denver is a tough defense, but 2.5 receptions for a guy with 11 targets over his last two games is simply too low.
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Jake Tonges OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards
Tonges had six games this season with a 60+ percent route share, and with no George Kittle this week, expect Tonges to be the primary receiving tight end. Across those six games, Tonges averaged 6.5 targets, 4.8 receptions, and 44.8 yards per game! The Seahawks played two-high safeties at a top 6 clip during the regular season, and Tonges posted 0.20 targets per route run against two-high safeties during the six games he had a 60+ percent route share, per FantasyPoints Data. Volume should be there, and I like him to push past this line.
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Bo Nix UNDER 243.5 Passing & Rushing Yards
I’m expecting a slugfest in Denver. With Josh Allen semi-injured and the Bills’ poor run defense, the Broncos would be wise to focus on the run game and clock control to beat the Bills. Bo Nix is also going against the #1 pass defense. The Bills haven’t given up more than 243.5 passing and rushing yards to a quarterback twice since Week 9. Those two quarterbacks were Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes. I’m taking the UNDER for Nix in this game.
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Josh Allen UNDER 253.5 Passing & Rushing Yards
Given the slugfest scenario in the Bills/Broncos game, Josh Allen may not have a huge game. Throw in the fact that he has an injured throwing hand, left knee, and right foot, and you have to wonder if he can have a huge game. Denver ranks 11th in giving up passing and rushing yards to quarterbacks. They have averaged for the year 212 passing yards and 18 rushing yards per game. The UNDER just seems to make sense here.
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James Cook UNDER 77.5 Rushing Yards
James Cook has had some great games and some duds. He had back-to-back weeks against New England and Cleveland with 107 and 117 yards, respectively. However, in the past two weeks, Cook has rushed 46 and 15 yards, respectively. Denver ranks #2 overall in giving up the fewest rushing yards per game at 72 yards. Keeping Cook under 77.5 rushing yards seems logical.
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RJ Harvey OVER 53.5 Rushing Yards
This is a week where the Broncos really need Harvey to run the ball well and control the clock if they want a chance to beat the Bills. Luckily for the Broncos, the Bills ranked 27th in giving up the most rushing yards per game (108). I foresee Harvey getting close to 20+ carries and easily breaking past the 53.5 rushing yards in this game.
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