Football
NFL Week 16 Game of Fantasy Points: 49ers at Colts!
Welcome Back! Big Guy Fantasy Sports is thrilled to bring you another year of the best in NFL consistency rankings and championship fantasy football strategy.
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by
James Knight
Are you ready for some football? It’s Monday Night Football for NFL Week 16! The San Francisco 49ers travel to Indianapolis to take on the Colts.
NFL Week 16 was a little underwhelming this week, as we didn’t have as many Clutch Games as we have in recent weeks. As for the Monday Night game, the 49ers are -4.5 favorites versus the Colts. The O/U is 45.5. For fantasy scoring, our current King of the Week is Puka Nacua, who scored 46.5 points on Thursday night. Marking the second week in a row, our leading scorer has come from the Thursday night game. Nacua is the only player so far this week to score 40+ points.
Which games profiled as the best for fantasy consistency purposes, and which games actually delivered? Moreso, let’s dig in and see how the Consistency Trend Report could lead you to fantasy gold!
Also, be sure to sign up today to access our articles and grab a paid subscription to get all the amazing consistency tools available at BGFS! Generally, these tools are your league winners!
*All points are full PPR and based on points scored through 12/21/25.
Fantasy Football Game of the Week – 12/22/2025 Fantasy Football: Consistency
Highest Projected Clutch Games Expected Week 16 (with results):
- Bengals (-3,5) at Dolphins, 8 Expected Clutch Players
- Actual Score and Clutch Players,
- 45-21, Bengals, 10 Clutch Players
- CIN (6): Joe Burrow (QB4), Chase Brown (RB1), Samaje Perine, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Mike Gesicki
- MIA (4): De’Von Achane, Jaylen Wright, Jaylen Waddle, Malik Washington
- 45-21, Bengals, 10 Clutch Players
- Actual Score and Clutch Players,
- Rams at Seahawks (-1.5), 8 Expected Clutch Players
- Actual Score and Clutch Players,
- 38-37, Seahawks, 10 Clutch Players
- LAR (5): Matthew Stafford (QB2), Blake Corum, Kyren Williams, Puka Nacua (WR1), Terrance Ferguson
- SEA (5): Sam Darnold, Kenneth Walker III, Zach Charbonnet, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR5), AJ Barner
- 38-37, Seahawks, 10 Clutch Players
- Actual Score and Clutch Players,
- Patriots at Ravens (-3.5), 8 Expected Clutch Players
- Actual Score and Clutch Players,
- 28-24, Patriots, 8 Clutch Players
- NE (6): Drake Maye, Rhamondre Stevenson, Stefon Diggs, Mack Hollins, Kyle Williams, Hunter Henry
- BAL (2): Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers
- 28-24, Patriots, 8 Clutch Players
- Actual Score and Clutch Players,
- Jaguars at Broncos (-3.5), 7 Expected Clutch Players
- Actual Score and Clutch Players,
- 34-20, Jaguars, 7 Clutch Players
- JAX (4): Trevor Lawrence (QB1), Travis Etienne Jr., Parker Washington (WR3), Brenton Strange
- DEN (3): R.J. Harvey, Courtland Sutton, Troy Franklin
- 34-20, Jaguars, 7 Clutch Players
- Actual Score and Clutch Players,
More NFL Fantasy Football Week 16
- Fantasy NFL Week 16 Start/Sits Advice & Football Strategy
- Top NFL Week 16 DFS Picks
- NFL Week 16 Prop Picks And Best Prop Bet Predictions
Notes from the Highest Projected Games
The highest scoring QB this week was Trevor Lawrence, at 31.2 points. However, the King of Fantasy Points for this week is Puka Nacua, who scored 46.5 points Thursday night. Both of those games were featured in our highest projected Clutch Games rankings this week. This week, there were 5 QBs, 5 RBs, 4 WRs, and 0 TEs who scored 25+ fantasy points. The four projected highest games were the only games that had more than 5 Clutch Players!
Featured the QB1 (Lawrence), QB2 (Stafford), QB4 (Burrow), RB1 (Brown), WR1 (Nacua), WR3 (Washington), and WR5 (Smith-Njigba)
The biggest shocker in a low Clutch Game week may be that Trey McBride missed a Clutch Game. Some unexpected fantasy performances from this week were Trevor Lawrence as QB1 (again), Parker Washington as WR3, and Elijah Higgins as TE5 over his teammate McBride. In a corresponding outcome, Jacoby Brissett failed to hit a Clutch Game. It was his first time doing so in a game in which he started.
NFL Week 16 Monday Night Football, 49ers (-4.5) at Colts
Tonight’s game features the 49ers versus the Colts in Indianapolis. The Colts are holding on for dear life with Philip Rivers coming back to start at QB. At 8-6, they need a win at home tonight. They’ve lost four straight, whereas the 49ers are 10-6 and have won four games in a row. The best Clutch Performers in this game are the RBs. Christian McCaffrey is at 93% and Jonathan Taylor is at 86% Clutch Ratios. Despite those two players being so high in CR, I expect this game to be determined by the QBs. Brock Purdy is 4 of 6 for Clutch Games, and I think he’ll have a great game tonight with George Kittle and Jauan Jennings leading the receiving room.
There are 6 expected Clutch Players based on the Consistency Reports: 4 from San Francisco (Purdy, McCaffrey, Jennings, and Kittle), and 2 from Indianapolis (Taylor and Tyler Warren). It’ll be hard for the Colts to keep up with the 49ers offensively. Taylor will be featured, but everyone in the building is aware of this. Another 49er signature win is incoming: 30-20, 49ers.
More Big Guy Fantasy Football
- NFL Fantasy Football Week 16: Under the Radar with Consistency
- Week 16 NFL Fantasy Football: Who’s Hot & Who’s Not!
Additionally, the key to these articles is to realize that the consistency tools available here at BigGuyFantasySports can give you that competitive edge! Each week, I use our tools to project the most Clutch Games for fantasy scoring matchups using four separate consistency reports to find which games stand out. Still need more consistency? If so, click the banner above to buy the Consistency Guide by Bob Lung!
Got Your Big Guy Football Consistency Report Yet? Fantasy Consistency
James has been a part of fantasy sports for over 20 years (football, baseball, and basketball) and has worked in multiple industries as a Data Analyst. He is from North Carolina where he currently resides with his wife and three children. He enjoys all things sports and his favorite teams are the Braves, Broncos, Hornets, and Duke.

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