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Every week, Colby Conway and Bob Lung use the Forecaster Consistency Tool to help you win your Fantasy Football Prop Bets! Follow them @colbyconway and @bob_lung. If you are looking for some weekly NFL player props, you’ve come to the right place! There are ample player props out there, but Bob Lung and Colby Conway provide their favorite player props to target for this week’s action across the National Football League.
The consistency concept can be applied to player props, just like it has for daily fantasy sports and seasonal fantasy football, so find those consistent players to give yourself the best chance of winning some money betting on player props.
NFL Week 1 – Prop Picks – 9/13/26 – Prop It Like It’s Hot!
Week 1 – NFL Prop Picks
Devaughn Vele OVER 39.5 Rec. Yards (-114 DK)
Vele will be the team’s WR2 in this game, where the Saints are heavy underdogs and could be the highest-scoring game on the slate. Kellen Moore is pass-happy to begin with, and Chris Olave can’t get EVERY target. Vele is a solid player, and lining up out of the slot should put him in advantageous spots against a Detroit secondary that is without its two starting safeties and, as a whole, boasts a lackluster cornerback room.
David Montgomery OVER 10.5 Rec. Yards (-114 DK)
All offseason, the Texans have talked up Montgomery’s receiving prowess, and perhaps that it was underutilized in past spots. That has my attention here in Week 1. The Texans didn’t throw the ball to running backs enough last season, but I expect that to change this year, with the team likely taking a receiver off the field for another tight end more frequently. Montgomery is a better pass-catcher than he’s given credit for, and in Year 2, I expect- err, would hope Nick Caley can find creative ways to get the ball in the hands of his playmakers.
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Deshaun Watson OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-143 DK)
In the preseason, Watson completed just 59.3% of his passes, and his 6.1% turnover-worthy play rate was tied for the ninth-highest mark, per PFF. Watson hasn’t played in a regular-season game since 2024, and in three years with Cleveland, he’s thrown 12 interceptions in 19 games. Jacksonville is an opportunistic defense, and with two rookie receivers being relied upon heavily in Week 1 for Cleveland, it could be a bit of an uphill battle in Week 1 for Watson and the Browns.
MarShawn Lloyd OVER 10.5 Receiving Yards (-113 DraftKings)
MarShawn Lloyd has been put in the spotlight with the current “suspension” of Josh Jacobs. He has a golden opportunity to shine this week against a Vikings’ defense that did not perform well against running backs last year. A couple of receptions out of the backfield should easily allow Lloyd to surpass this prop.
Malik Willis – UNDER 27.5 Pass Attempts (-114 DraftKings)
The Raiders / Dolphins game is one of the lowest total points lines of the week at 40.5. Both teams are fairly inept on offense and will rely heavily on their star running backs. At this point, Ashton Jeanty is playing, and we know Devon Achane is a stud. Therefore, I see no reason for a ton of passing on either side of the ball. You may want to bet on the under for Kirk Cousins as well.
Chase Brown – OVER 24.5 Receiving Yards (-115 DraftKings)
On the opposite side of the point totals this week, the Bengals/Buccaneers game is at 50.5. We expect a shootout in this match-up with Burrow vs. Baker. Chase Brown’s receiving prop seems low. This appears so, with Brown hitting the over on this prop in 70% of the last 10 games of last season.
You can find & follow @colbyconway and @bob_lung on the X! And thank you for joining us for our Week 17 NFL Prop Picks and Best Bets!
