Consistently Cashin’ – Week 16
Colby Conway and Ron Rigney uses CONSISTENCY to help you win your Cash Games in FanDuel and DraftKings! Follow them @colbyconway and @ronrigney.
Welcome to Consistently Cashin’! Colby Conway and Ron Rigney use the famous consistency concept, pioneered by Bob Lung, to anchor your DFS lineups with consistent options to help you post a high total each week. Having multiple consistent options allows you to take some risks with lower priced guys that have quantifiable upside.
QB: Geno Smith
The Chiefs have allowed the most passing touchdowns on the season to opposing quarterbacks, and over the last four weeks, only three others defenses have allowed more fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. This should be one of, if not the highest scoring games on the slate, and Smith has been better on the road this year, completing nearly 74 percent of his passes with a 14:4 TD/INT ratio and 113.6 quarterback rating in seven road games.
QB: Kirk Cousins
For the main Sunday slate, the passing yards figure to be skimpy due to inclement weather. I look for Cousins’ ownership to be high, but he’s one of the safest options on the slate. The Giants matchup is middle of the road in terms of pass defense. Plus it’s a home matchup, and we know there’s no place like home. His QB rating is 14 points higher (98.3) than on the road (84.3) to go along with 15 touchdown passes at home versus 9 at home. He’s $7700 on FanDuel, which I think is very affordable given the QB landscape for the Week 16 main slate.
RB: Derrick Henry
In cash games, Henry’s ownership might be through the roof, but maybe people will get scared off the price? The Texans have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game to opposing running backs over the last four weeks, and for the entire 2022 season, Houston has allowed the most rushing yards and most rushing touchdowns to the position. Malik Willis will be under center, and Tennessee’s offensive scheme figures to be even more run-heavy than usual. Fire up Henry with minimal concern.
RB: James Cook
If you’re trying to fit Henry in your lineup, you’re going to need some savings elsewhere. Cook is a solid option for that. He’s been able to a lot with few touches, and this is a bit of a swing for the fences. With the weather forecast being a frozen tundra, there figures to be more touches on the ground for everyone involved. I’m not chasing what happened last week, but Cook did score his first NFL touchdown. Here’s hoping for another one!
WR: D.J. Moore
The main option in Carolina is still producing despite a dismal QB room. He’s coming off his second Clutch Game out of the last three, scoring a touchdown in both as well. Even though the Lions defense has looked better at times in the last few weeks, they still allow the most fantasy points to quarterbacks and the second-most to wide receivers. In two career matchups against the Lions, Moore is averaging seven catches and 142 yards. The game is another one with frigid temps, but the 10mph wind that the forecast is calling for isn’t as bad as other games. Here’s hoping for some passing stats!
WR: Amon-Ra St. Brown
I like St. Brown here for many of the same reasons I like Moore. The Panthers are a big tougher against the pass, but St. Brown is emerging as one of the best route runners in the league. He’s seen eight targets or more in every game since Week 8, so the chemistry with Jared Goff is there. I wish he were cheaper, but at $8400 on a slate with fewer options, its doable.
WR: Marquise Goodwin
I’m all for paying up for DK Metcalf, but we need to save some money with what we are going to do at the tight end position. With no Tyler Lockett, Goodwin figures to step up into a prominent role. Goodwin has appeared in over 70 percent of the snaps in two games this season, and in those contests, he has put up double-digit fantasy points on FanDuel in each of those games (10.8, 18). I like pairing Goodwin with Geno Smith for an affordable stack in a high-scoring affair.
TE: Travis Kelce
Kelce is super expensive, but there’s enough value to make it work. For the 2022 season as a whole, the Seahawks have allowed the third-most yards to opposing tight ends, and they are one of just five teams to have allowed at least eight receiving scores to opposing tight ends. Star tight ends, a la T.J. Hockenson and George Kittle, have had big days against this defense, and I expect Kelce to decimate this Seattle secondary. You can save money by going elsewhere, but Kelce’s fantasy floor and ceiling is so valuable in cash games.
TE: T.J. Hockenson
Facing a Giants team that’s middle of the road against fantasy tight ends, Hock is a solid start for the $6000 price tag on FanDuel for many of the same reasons I like his QB. He’s gotten at least six targets in every game since joining the Vikings and is always a threat in the red zone. He’s not as flashy as Kelce, but with the weather in the forecast for Kansas City, Hockenson’s floor is much closer to Kelce’s this week.
Depending on your cash options left, consider these guys at different price points on FanDuel:
Jamaal Williams ($6800)
Adam Thielen ($6600)
Isaiah Pacheco ($6700)
Gus Edwards ($5700)
Richie James ($5200)
49ers vs WAS
Falcons @ BAL
Titans vs. HOU
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