Catch all the Top NFL Prop Picks & Best Prop Bets right here, every week, on Big Guy Fantasy Sports!
Every week, Colby Conway and Bob Lung use the Forecaster Consistency Tool to help you win your Fantasy Football Prop Bets! Follow them @colbyconway and @bob_lung. If you are looking for some weekly NFL player props, you’ve come to the right place! There are ample player props out there, but Bob Lung and Colby Conway provide their favorite player props to target for this week’s action across the National Football League.
The consistency concept can be applied to player props, just like it has for daily fantasy sports and seasonal fantasy football, so find those consistent players to give yourself the best chance of winning some money betting on player props.
NFL Week 17 Prop Picks – 1/3/26 – Prop It Like It’s Hot!
Week 18 NFL Prop Picks
Sam Darnold OVER 0.5 Interceptions
Nine of his 14 interceptions have come on the road this season. Despite having largely good numbers against single-high safety looks, which SF is running a good bit of in recent weeks, his 4.1% turnover worthy play rate is the third highest amongst QBs with at least 150 drop-backs against that look in 2025, per FantasyPoints Data. If the 49ers offense can get out ahead of Seattle and force the Seahawks to force Darnold to beat them solely on his right arm, he’ll give the San Fran defense a chance or two to get their hands on it.
Caleb Williams OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Williams has four straight multi-passing touchdown games, and 2+ passing scores in four of his last five! Chicago is going to be playing to win in the regular season finale, and it’s such a good matchup against a Detroit secondary that is all sorts of banged up. Despite just a 55.2% completion rate over the last six weeks, Williams has a 12:2 TD/INT ratio and 8.7 average depth of target, per FantasyPoints Data. I think Williams can put the ball in the end zone twice in a game that Vegas thinks will push into the 50s.
More Big Guy NFL Content
- Week 16 NFL Fantasy Football: Who’s Hot & Who’s Not!
- Fantasy Football Week 15: Under the Radar with NFL Consistency!
Bryce Young OVER 17.5 Rushing Yards
Once again, we’re going back to the well with this one! He’s eclipsed this line in four straight games, averaging 29.8 rushing yards per game during this stretch. He ran for 20 yards against this Tampa Bay team back in Week 16, and over the last four games, Young is sixth in the league in scramble yards. Furthermore, only Justin Herbert (17) has more scramble attempts during that stretch than Young (13), per FantasyPoints Data. Tampa Bay’s propensity to blitz could give Young some happy feet and lead him to look to use his legs to help move the offense in an attempt to win the NFC South.
Tony Pollard UNDER 67.5 Rushing Yards
Only Derrick Henry has had more rushing yards over the last four weeks. At 452 rushing yards over that time period, it makes it easy to bet the OVER here. This should be more attainable since Pollard needs 66 rushing yards to earn a $250k bonus. However, sadly Pollard is going against the red-hot Jacksonville Jaguars. They rank #1 in giving up the fewest rushing yards per game at only 68 rushing yards per game to the entire opponent’s team! In fact, only twice ALL SEASON has anyone went over 67.5 rushing yards. That was only one player, Jonathan Taylor, who squeaked by at 70 and 74 rushing yards, respectively. I’m taking the UNDER.
Stefon Diggs OVER 8+ Receptions – +417
It’s the last regular-season game of the year. So why not take some big-money flyers! Diggs needs eight or more receptions to earn a $500k bonus. It does seem excessive, but the Patriots are playing for the #1 seed. They are also playing at home versus the Dolphins. Diggs has caught nine catches twice in the past six weeks, so it’s doable. It’s hard to not take a shot with a +417 juice.
Travis Kelce – Anytime TD – +260
Maybe not as ballsy as Diggs line, but this may be Kelce’s last game. It’s in Las Vegas and probably on national TV. So, is it crazy to assume that he won’t catch a touchdown? Neither team has anything to play for, so why not let Kelce go out with a bang? The +260 seems like a nice return. I’ll bet that.
You can find & follow @colbyconway and @bob_lung on the X! And thank you for joining us for our Week 15 NFL Prop Picks and Best Bets!
Colby Conway has been writing in the fantasy sports industry since 2014, focusing on fantasy football, fantasy baseball, daily fantasy sports, and sports betting (primarily player props). He is a die-hard Houston Texans fan, and is a participant in the King's Classic fantasy football leagues.

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