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Every week, Colby Conway and Bob Lung use the Forecaster Consistency Tool to help you win your Fantasy Football Prop Bets! Follow them @colbyconway and @bob_lung (@JKeasy stepping in this week) . If you are looking for some weekly NFL player props, you’ve come to the right place! There are ample player props out there, but Bob Lung and Colby Conway provide their favorite player props to target for this week’s action across the National Football League.
The consistency concept can be applied to player props, just like it has for daily fantasy sports and seasonal fantasy football, so find those consistent players to give yourself the best chance of winning some money betting on player props.
NFL Week 4 – Prop Picks – 10/3/26 – Prop It Like It’s Hot!
Week 4 – NFL Prop Picks
Parker Washington OVER 73.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
I wrote about it in the Consistently Cashin’ article, but Washington is Jacksonville’s man-beater. The Bengals are more than willing to put their guys in man coverage. In fact, Cincy has played man coverage at the seventh-highest rate this season, per FantasyPoints Data, and Washington has an elite 3.48 yards-per-route run against man coverage. Washington is no stranger to the slot, and Cincy has struggled there this season (3rd-most fantasy points per game allowed).
Dak Prescott OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-121)
The Texans have allowed the eighth-highest passer rating, and with multiple starting linebackers out of this game. Prescott will feast on the vulnerable part of this defense (the middle). The Texans’ defense has a 3.3% pass rate over expectation (0.7% is league average). This means teams are slightly more likely to throw rather than run compared to the expectation. It’s tough to run on Houston, but you can throw on them. George Pickens. CeeDee Lamb. Jake Ferguson. Prescott has multiple TD passes in two of three games this season, and he’s in a great spot to make it three out of four.
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Makai Lemon OVER 3.5 Rushing Yards (+102)
Devonta Smith and Dallas Goedert are not expected to play, so Lemon will be asked to do more in this one. He’s handled four targets in two of three games this year, and I’d expect that Week 4 will feature his highest snap share and route participation rate. He ran three-fourths of his routes from the slot in Week 3, and on the season, the Rams have allowed the ninth-most fantasy points per game and 2 receiving TDs to slot receivers. I’d expect Philly to be playing from behind, and this could be the [forced] opportunity to get the first-rounder going.
Kenneth Gainwell OVER 8.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)
With this one, I am following the coach speak. Kenneth Gainwell should be more involved this week with Jalon Daniels under center and his HC saying he’d like to get him more involved. One catch is all that Gainwell needs to cruise past this line, but he’s had 9 targets over the last two games, so it should be easy money.
Braelon Allen OVER 11.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)
This is all about opportunity as Breece Hall is out this week. Geno Smith has the Jets’ offense moving the ball, and Allen had 3 receptions last week. 1-2 receptions this week will see Allen soar past this number easily.
You can find & follow @colbyconway and @bob_lung (@JKeasy stepping in this week) on X! And thank you for joining us for our Week 3 NFL Prop Picks and Best Bets!
