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Every week, Colby Conway and Bob Lung use the Forecaster Consistency Tool to help you win your Fantasy Football Prop Bets! Follow them @colbyconway and @bob_lung. If you are looking for some weekly NFL player props, you’ve come to the right place! There are ample player props out there, but Bob Lung and Colby Conway provide their favorite player props to target for this week’s action across the National Football League.
The consistency concept can be applied to player props, just like it has for daily fantasy sports and seasonal fantasy football, so find those consistent players to give yourself the best chance of winning some money betting on player props.
NFL Week 10 Prop Picks – 11/15/25 – Prop It Like It’s Hot!
Week 11 NFL Prop Picks
Jaylen Warren OVER 77.5 Rushing Yards
This line may look high for someone who has eclipsed this line just once this season, but the lone time he did it came against this Bengals defense. In fact, Warren’s three highest rushing outputs have come within his last four games! The Bengals have allowed the third-most yards per carry this season, and the eighth-highest explosive run rate, per FantasyPoints. Furthermore, nearly three-quarters of Warren’s runs are zone concept runs, and he has posted a 4.56 yards per carry mark and a 54.9% success rate, which rank 10th and 5th, respectively, amongst RBs with at least 50 zone concept carries this season. Why does that matter? Well, guess what defense has allowed the most yards per carry (5.73), the highest success rate (56.8%), second-most yards before contact per attempt (2.70), and fourth-highest explosive run rate (6.1%) against zone concept runs? You guessed it! The Bengals!
Michael Wilson OVER 3.5 Receptions
In four Jacoby Brissett starts, Wilson is averaging 3.5 receptions on five targets per game, not to mention 12.4 yards per reception and a 118.5 passer rating when targeted. He takes a good number of snaps out of the slot, and a “big slot” archetype could be advantageous against a 49ers team that has the most fantasy points per game to slot receivers in 2025. Marvin Harrison Jr. will miss this game, so a couple of extra targets Wilson’s way could give him four (or more) receptions for the third time since Brissett took over.
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Zay Flowers OVER 4.5 Receptions
So long as this game doesn’t get out of hand, I LOVE this spot for Flowers. Through six games where Lamar Jackson has started (and played most of the game), Flowers is averaging 5.3 receptions, 6.8 targets, and 74 yards per game! He’s been great against man coverage and single-high safeties this season, which Cleveland loves to utilize, and we can’t overlook Flowers’ 25.5% target share and 30.5% first read rate in games with Lamar Jackson this season, per FantasyPoints. His line of 59.5 receiving yards also is quite appetizing, as he’s surpassed that line in three straight games, and in five of his last six overall.
Chase Brown UNDER 61.5 Rushing Yards
Yes, I realized that in Week 7, Chase Brown went off against the Steelers, rushing for 108 yards in the 33-32 shootout. So, of course, everyone is expecting similar results? I’m not. So, let’s look at some facts. Fact #1 – The Steelers are the eighth-best in giving up the fewest fantasy points to running backs. Fact #2 – The Steelers’ defense is extremely tough at home! Here are three top running backs and their rushing yards performance: Quinshon Judkins (36); Josh Jacobs (33) and Jonathan Taylor (45). Fact #3 – The Bengals’ defense is terrible against both run and pass, and if this becomes another shootout, there’s no reason for Brown to run the ball. I’m taking the under.
Nick Chubb OVER 32.5 Rushing Yards
The secondary, yet talented, running backs are a niche I love to look at. Woody Marks is the primary back against the Titans this week. The Titans are 28th in giving up fantasy points to running backs. The Titans are giving up 102.9 rushing yards per game. Woody Marks’ line is 62.5 rushing yards. That leaves 40 yards rushing for Chubb. Last week, he had only five rushing attempts and ran for 47 yards. In five out of the previous six weeks, Chubb has exceeded the 32.5 yard mark. I like the over here this week.
Cooper Kupp OVER 37.5 Receiving Yards
As a Cooper Kupp owner, it’s been a tough year for him and all of us. While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been great, the rest of the receiving core has struggled. Most of Kupp’s problems have been good health. However, he came back last week and had 74 yards receiving. The Seahawks have scored 35 or more points in three of their previous four games. This game versus the Rams should be a shootout. In the three games out of those four games that Kupp played in, he went over 37.5 receiving yards. This is also a revenge game for Kupp against his former team. I’m taking the over.
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