xConsistency - WR - 2019

Bob Lung takes you to the next level with xConsistency and how it can help separate the Wide Receivers with similar consistency and identify who is more valuable to your Fantasy teams.  You can follow Bob on Twitter at @bob_lung.

Consistency in Fantasy Football is a very important factor in helping Fantasy owners make more informed decisions on who to draft and who to start/sit during the season. If you’re new to the Consistency concept in Fantasy Football, I highly recommend reading some of the Introduction articles located on the home page of www.BigGuyFantasySports.com. If you’re already a reader and follower of the site, then you are quite aware of the xConsistency concept from last year’s Guide.

The xConsistency is similar to xERA in baseball as it’s identifying the “TRUE” Consistency value of the player. The formula is as follows:

            (Total Fantasy Points Scored / Total Games Played) X Clutch Rate

The xConsistency factor will separate players with similar Consistency but different Total Points Score due to either fewer games or Clutch performances with lesser points scored. For example: let’s look at Top 12 receivers last year with similar Clutch Rates:

Player Name

Total Points

Rank

Total CG

Total GP

CR

2018 Rank

xCon

Rank

Davante Adams

327.60

4

15

15

100%

2

21.84

1

DeAndre Hopkins

337.50

1

16

16

100%

1

21.09

2

Antonio Brown

323.70

5

14

15

93%

4

20.07

3

Julio Jones

329.80

2

15

16

94%

3

19.38

4

Adam Thielen

307.30

7

14

16

88%

7

16.90

5

Odell Beckham

233.40

15

10

12

83%

9

16.14

6

Julian Edelman

205.70

22

11

12

92%

5

15.77

7

Tyreek Hill

328.00

3

12

16

75%

14

15.38

8

JuJu Smith-Schuster

296.90

8

13

16

81%

10

15.03

9

Michael Thomas

319.50

6

12

16

75%

15

14.98

10

A.J. Green

151.40

42

8

9

89%

6

14.97

11

Robert Woods

265.60

10

14

16

88%

8

14.61

12

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