xConsistency - QB - 2019

Written by Bob Lung

Bob Lung takes you to the next level with xConsistency and how it can help separate the Quarterbacks with similar consistency and identify who is more valuable to your Fantasy teams.  You can follow Bob on Twitter at @bob_lung.

Consistency in Fantasy Football is a very important factor in helping Fantasy owners make more informed decisions on who to draft and who to start/sit during the season. If you’re new to the Consistency concept in Fantasy Football, I highly recommend reading some of the Introduction articles located on the home page of www.BigGuyFantasySports.com. If you’re already a reader and follower of the site, then you were introduced to this new concept last year. The calculation is called: xConsistency.

The xConsistency is similar to xERA in baseball as it’s identifying the “TRUE” Consistency value of the player. The formula is as follows:

            (Total Fantasy Points Scored / Total Games Played) X Clutch Rate

The xConsistency factor will separate two players with similar Consistency but different Total Points Score due to either fewer games or Clutch performances with lesser points scored. For example: let’s take a look at two players last year with similar Clutch Rates:

Player Name

Total Points

Rank

Total CG

Total GP

Clutch Rate

Rank

xCon

Rank

Russell Wilson

343.00

10

11

16

69%

8

14.79

9

Jameis Winston

245.90

21

7

11

64%

10

14.31

10


Here’s an example from last year’s stats. You have two quarterbacks, Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston. Because Winston missed some games due to a suspension and poor play. And yet, even though he was over 100 points behind Wilson in total, when he did play his xConsistency was only 0.48 points behind. This shows that Winston is an undervalued pick this year and should be a great value as a late QB1 or early QB2.

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