Nease’s Insights—Experts’ Draft: Top 100 Picks

Today we go back one more time to the FanEx Analysis Draft I am currently participating in. My FanEx group that I belong to is in the midst of a long running, serpentine PPR draft. This is a best-ball format. After the draft we make no player moves and the league management system (MyFantasyLeague.com) creates our optimum lineup each week. It is scored rotisserie style and the winner is the one on top after Week 17.

What sets this draft apart from other drafts, is that each member drafting writes an analysis on each of the picks. That tells you, the reader why that player was drafted at that particular time. It gives you an early indication of where some of the top experts in our industry rank the players.

From this, one can review the draft in its entirety when it is done. You are able to see it in the original draft order, or you can sort it by position and develop a pretty solid player ranking from it.

Here is a link to the draft and everyone’s player analyses:  http://www61.myfantasyleague.com/2018/options?L=30771&O=17

Here is a link to our rosters:

http://www61.myfantasyleague.com/2018/options?L=30771&O=07

You may want to bookmark these links, not only for building some early player ranking lists, but also to check in and watch the dynamics of the draft as it progresses.

Here is a list of the 1st 100 draft picks. Take a look through it and then we will discuss some key points we can take away to help us prepare for our drafts.

 

Overall Pick Player
1 Gurley, Todd LAR RB
2 Bell, Le'Veon PIT RB
3 Elliott, Ezekiel DAL RB
4 Kamara, Alvin NOS RB
5 Brown, Antonio PIT WR
6 Hopkins, DeAndre HOU WR
7 Johnson, David ARI RB
8 Gordon, melvin LAC RB
9 Hunt, Kareem, KCC RB
10 Barkley, Saquon NYG RB (R)
11 Cook, Dalvin MIN RB
12 Beckham, Odell NYG WR
13 Fournette, Leonard JAC RB
14 Allen, Keenan LAC WR
15 Thomas, Michael NOS WR
16 Hill, Tyreek, KCC WR
17 Jones, Julio ATL WR
18 Evans, Mike TBB WR
19 Adams, Davante GBP WR
20 McCaffrey, Christian CAR RB
21 Cooper, Amari OAK WR
22 Green, A.J. CIN WR
23 Thielen, Adam MIN WR
24 McCoy, LeSean BUF RB
25 Baldwin, Doug SEA WR
26 McKinnon, Jerick SFO RB
27 Rodgers, Aaron GBP QB
28 Smith-Schuster, Juju PIT WR
29 Mixon, Joe CIN RB
30 Freeman, Devonta ATL RB
31 Diggs, Stefon, MIN WR
32 Howard, Jordan CHI RB
33 Robinson, Allen CHI WR
34 Kelce, Travis KCC TE
35 Gronkowski, Rob NEP TE
36 Cooks, Brandin LAR WR
37 Guice, Derrius WAS RB (R)
38 Penny, Rashaad SEA RB (R)
39 Ajayi, Jay PHI RB
40 Hilton, T.Y. IND WR
41 Fitzgerald, Larry ARI WR
42 Wilson, Russell SEA QB
43 Engram, Evan NYG TE
44 Landry, Jarvis CLE WR
45 Ertz, Zach PHI TE
46 Drake, Kenyan MIA RB
47 Thomas, Demaryius DEN WR
48 Gordon, Josh CLE WR
49 Jones, Marvin DET WR
50 Jeffery, Alshon PHI WR
51 Tate, Golden DET WR
52 Collins, Alex BAL RB
53 Davis, Corey TEN WR
54 Henry, Derrick TEN RB
55 Freeman, Royce DEN RB (R)
56 Watson, Deshaun HOU QB
57 Michel, Sony NEP RB (R)
58 Lewis, Dion TEN RB
59 Coleman, Tevin ATL RB
60 Kupp, Cooper LAR WR
61 Johnson, Kerryon DET RB (R)
62 Edelman, Julian NEP WR
63 Hogan, Chris NEP WR
64 Jones, Ronald TBB RB (R)
65 Ingram, Mark NOS RB
66 Chubb, Nick CLE RB (R)
67 Crabtree, Michael BAL WR
68 Watkins, Sammy KCC WR
69 Miller, Lamar HOU RB
70 Cohen, Tarik CHI RB
71 Olsen, Greg CAR TE
72 Walker, Delanie TEN TE
73 Rudolph, Kyle MIN TE
74 Goodwin, Marquise SFO WR
75 Cobb, Randall GBP WR
76 Sanders, Emmanuel DEN WR
77 Brady, Tom NEP QB
78 Mack, Marlon IND RB
79 Hyde, Carlos CLE RB
80 Graham, Jimmy GBP TE
81 Fuller, Will HOU WR
82 Newton, Cam CAR QB
83 Johnson, Duke CLE RB
84 Burton, Trey CHI TE
85 Cousins, Kirk MIN QB
86 Agholor, Nelson PHI WR
87 Moore, D.J. CAR WR (R)
88 Wentz, Carson PHI QB
89 Funchess, Devin CAR WR
90 Crowder, Jamison WAS WR
91 Garcon, Pierre SFO WR
92 Parker, DeVante MIA WR
93 Woods, Robert LAR WR
94 Kittle, George SFO TE
95 Brees, Drew NOS QB
96 Stafford, Matthew DET QB
97 Thompson, Chris WAS RB
98 Goff, Jared LAR QB
99 Shepard, Sterling NYG WR
100 Winston, Jameis TBB QB


In the first three rounds of the 2017 draft, 1 QB, 18 RBs. 16 WRs and 1 TE were selected. More WRs (7) than RBs (5) were actually chosen in the 1st Then it was 7 RBs taken in the 2nd round and 5 WRs. In the 3rd Round the first QB and TE were taken and there were also 6 more RBs and 4 WRs taken. Here are some observations on this draft thus far, in no particular order.

  • Then we look at the 2018 draft above. In the first three rounds of the 2018 draft, 1 QB, 16 RBs. 17 WRs and 2 TEs were selected. This year, 9 of the 12 players taken in the 1st Round were RBs, with only 3 WRs being chosen. Then it was reversed in the 2nd round with 9 WRs being drafted and only 3 RBs. Once again, in the 3rd Round the first QB was drafted and this year there were 2 TEs taken as the round was ending.
  • That is an indication that the Stud RB theory is coming back to prominence. This year, there were the same number of RBs and WRs selected in the first two rounds (12 each) as there were last season. But as we can see, with 10 of the first 13 2018 draft picks being RBs, we see a dramatic shift away from the 2017 WR rush in the 1st
  • First three QBs taken this year—#3.03 (27th pick) Aaron Rodgers, GB, #4.06 (42nd    pick) Russell Wilson, SEA and #5.08 (56th pick) Deshaun Watson, HOU. Once again, with a plentiful supply of QBs, the demand is such that they are going later, as opposed to sooner.
  • Underrated—TEs-#6.11 (71st pick) Greg Olsen, CAR, #6.12 (72nd pick) Delanie Walker, TEN and #7.08 (80th pick) Jimmy Graham, SEA. All three of these guys are better than several other players taken before them.
  • Overrated--#4.08 (56th pick) QB Deshaun Watson, HOU, #2.09 (21st pick) WR Amari Cooper, OAK and #5.05 (53rd pick) WR Corey Davis, TEN. Watson and Davis are coming of injuries that give them a lot to prove. Cooper had a 2017 season that dropped him, in my mind anyway, a lot lower than the 2nd

At this point, 140 more players will be chosen. Follow the links above as this will be a greatly informative draft. It gives you a valuable head start on your opponents in your quest to win championships this season.

Now there are only a few weeks left until training camps open. Buckle up for the journey. My colleagues and I at Big Guy Fantasy Sports are intent on helping you become the champion you want to be. With our poignant articles and being the home base for the consistency theory, a sound mathematically-based alternative to ADP, we will be with you for the 2018 season in its entirety. What happens then? That my friends, is easy. We start over and do it all again in 2019!

Over the years many readers have contacted me personally for fantasy football questions throughout the year. I look forward to helping you in your quest to win championships this year. You can contact me by email with any questions you may have on fantasy football generally, or on consistency specifically, at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., follow me on Twitter @mikeinsights, or join me as a member of Couch Tomatoes, my fantasy football discussion group on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/330237687362965/.

Good luck! Have fun!

 

 

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