Nease’s Insights—Week 13: Who’s Hot? Who’s Not?

Wow! It seems like just yesterday that we were talking about planning for our drafts and anxiously awaiting the start of the season. Our playoffs begin either next week, or in Week 15 in some cases. At this stage about half of you are in contention for, or have clinched a playoff slot. As we saw last night on TNF, Dallas beat New Orleans. That was generally not expected. In fantasy football, strong teams can, but seldom do, lose to weak teams. One thing is certain though, you cannot win the championship without being in the playoffs.

These next two weeks can either be the end of your season, or the beginning of your championship experience. This is the week to use every resource you have to optimize your lineups. I have analyzed the last four weeks’ scoring stats and determined who has been hot, as well as who has not been very effective.

I have assumed that players that have reached stud status this season will be inserted in lineups automatically. Today I have listed two groups of players—one with other players who have been starter quality scoring wise over the last four weeks, as well as those that should be avoided, if possible.

Unfortunately, some of these lesser scorers must be used by some of you. All you can do is make a gut decision based on all the facts you have in hand. In the end, we just have to do our best and make the odds as favorable to ourselves as possible. We must simply do our best. Then we wait and see what results fate has in store for us.

QB –Hot

  • Baker Mayfield, CLE
  • Josh Allen, BUF
  • Jameis Winston, TB

QB—Not

  • Tom Brady, NE
  • Lamar Jackson, BAL
  • Matthew Stafford, DET
  • Derek Carr, OAK

RB—Hot

  • Aaron Jones, GB
  • Matt Breida, SF
  • Duke Johnson, CLE
  • Nick Chubb, CLE
  • Tevin Coleman, ATL
  • Joe Mixon, CIN

RB—Not

  • LeSean McCoy, BUF
  • Dalvin Cook, MIN
  • Peyton Barber, IB
  • Dion Lewis, TEN
  • Tarik Cohen, CHI
  • Marlon Mack, IND
  • Chris Carson, SEA
  • Adrian Peterson, WAS
  • Frank Gore, SF
  • Isaiah Crowell, CLE
  • Jerome Howard., CHI
  • Javorius Allen, BAL
  • Wendell Smallwood, PHI

WR—Hot

  • Ju Ju Smith-Schuster, PIT
  • Adam Humphries, TB
  • Corey Davis, TEN
  • Robert Woods, LAR
  • D, J, Moore, CAR
  • Tyler Locket, SEA
  • Curtis Samuel, CAR

WR—Not

  • Sterling Shepard, NYG
  • Quincy Enunwa, NYJ
  • Alshon Jeffery, PHI
  • Jarvis Landry, CLE
  • Marquez Valdez-Scantling, GB
  • Michael Crabtree, BAL

TE—Hot

  • Gerald Everett, LAR
  • Jonnu Smith, TEN
  • Tyler Higbee, LAR
  • Chris Herndon, NYJ

TE-Not

  • Trey Burton, CHI
  • Kyle Rudolph, MIN
  • Jimmy Graham, GB
  • Cameron Brate, TB

These players” hot” and “not” classifications are not meant to say that a hot player will continue to be hot in Week13, or that one classified as not cannot have a big game. I am showing trends over the last four weeks. You know as well as I do, that the unexpected does indeed happen in this game we love. Just ask Brees, Kamara and Thomas owners after last night’s game. These listings are an indicator so to speak. Use them as a tiebreaker, after you have done all your other analysis. There is no algorithm that will give you any better information, or edge that you can obtain from your own weekly research. In the end, I always tell people to use their gut to make the final decision. I try to give you as big of an edge as I can. In the end, luck comes into play. Hopefully, everything will come together positively and we will keep winning. The pride, bragging rights and of course, a little $$$ won is pretty gratifying as we hoist the trophy following a championship season.

Ask the Experts

When my friend Andy Richardson invited me to provide material for his weekly Fantasy Index Thursday morning "Ask the Experts" column, I was thrilled and honored. Here is the November 29, 2018 article from our friends at Fantasy Index. Check out all our comments this week as we answer the question: “Who will be the fantasy playoffs MVP?

https://www.fantasyindex.com/2018/11/29/ask-the-experts/who-will-be-the-fantasy-playoffs-mvp

We are now at the end of the regular fantasy football season and are about to begin the 2018 playoffs this week, or next week. All of us at Big Guy Fantasy Sports are intent on helping you become the champions you want to be. With our poignant articles and being the home base for the consistency theory, a sound, mathematically-based alternative to ADP, we will be with you for the 2018 season in its entirety. What happens then? That my friends, is easy. We start over and do it all again in 2019!

Over the years many readers have contacted me personally for fantasy football questions throughout the year. I look forward to helping you in your quest to win championships this year. You can contact me by email with any questions you may have on fantasy football generally, or on consistency specifically, at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., follow me on Twitter @mikeinsights, or join me as a member of Couch Tomatoes, my fantasy football discussion group on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/330237687362965/.

 

Good luck! Have fun!

 

BGFS Daily Fantasy Blast

Sign up for a free Daily Fantasy Blast from the experts at Big Guy Fantasy Sports! Don't miss out on the best analysis in the business! Where Fantasy gets REAL!

captcha 

Site Login

Captcha

Expert Leagues