Nease’s Insights—Week 4: Early Waiver Wire Reinforcements

Ok, I give up. When will all the projections and analysis that was done in the months start to kick in? Well, how long have I been telling you to expect the unexpected. We sure have a lot of that going on, don’t we?

In my 34-year old dynasty league, we have a double-elimination survivor pool. In Week 1 eight teams got a big L when the Saints lost. With the Week 2 games we were 12-0. Then, when everyone picked the Vikings to beat the Bills yesterday, we were left with only four contenders left. I do not believe I have ever seen 12 owners lose in one week before.

Fantasy football can be frustrating. We need something firm to grab hold of and get a firmer grip on our teams. If we lock ourselves into the weekly regimen I have told you about you will be able to remain on the cutting edge. Solid waiver-play and building your best lineup every week will help you win.

We had lots of injuries in Week 3. We assume that projections will cover all this as they predict how players will score each week. Do you really believe it? They are about as true as Santa Claus bringing gifts down billions of chimneys all in one 24-hour period, or the Easter Bunny bringing us all the colored eggs and candy.

How do projections change when an OT or OG gets hurt? What about a QB? How does a defensive team injury affect offensive players? What happens when team chemistry, like we witnessed in Cleveland last Thursday, gets ramped up off the charts? These factors are all called intangibles. No projection will ever foretell what impact they will have.

All we have to do is look at the Bills and Lions wins over the Vikings and the Patriots Sunday. On paper, what we witnessed was 100% impossible. Yet, as we all know, that is what happened. Today we woke up and saw the Bears and the Dolphins sitting atop their division standings. Seemingly impossible, yet we see it there ourselves.

Let’s take a look at the major injuries of Week 3.

  • QB Tyrod Taylor, CLE Concussion, Status-out and replaced by Baker Mayfield
  • QB Jimmy Garoppolo, SF Likely torn ACL, Status-probably out for the season
  • QB Blaine Gabbert, TEN Concussion-Status out and Marcus Mariota returns
  • RB Rex Burkhead, NE Neck, Status-to be determined
  • WR A.J. Green, CIN Groin, Status-to be determined
  • WR Bruce Ellington, HOU Hamstring-to be determined
  • TE Evan Engram, NYG Sprained knee-out about a month

We have a strong, deep waiver pool in most weeks, but this week we find ourselves really short on RBs. I compile this listing each week based on players who I believe to be available on waivers in most leagues, with average to above average owners. Of course, you may find other players who may also be available, or not available as well, in your own leagues.

Here are this week’s free agent targets, shown with their fantasy points (based on PPR) over the first three weeks of the season:

  • QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA 18-21-25
  • QB Josh Allen, BUF 6-17-30
  • QB Baker Mayfield, CLE 0-0-12
  • RB Javorius Allen, BAL 14-15-18
  • RB Corey Clement, PHI 3-20-11
  • WR Tyler Boyd, CIN 6-21-20
  • WR Mike Williams, LAC 13-11-24
  • WR Albert Wilson, MIA 7-14-22
  • WE Jakeem Grant, MIA 15-5-21
  • WR Jordy Nelson, OAK 5-5-29
  • TE Austin Hooper, ATL 5-17-7

Wow! That felt weird. I cannot believe I just added the great Jordy Nelson to a waiver list with the likes of Boyd, Williams, Wilson and Grant. But as I said early on in this article, expect the unexpected.

This is a new week. The first three weeks don’t count. Whether you are off to a good start or bad start to the season does not mean a thing. Week 4 is a new battle and is a must win. Go through your weekly routine and keep your eyes on the prize. There are no weeks we can let up, not a single one. The championship is not quite showing on the distant horizon yet. We have about 10-11 games left in the regular season. Even if you are now 0-3. 9-4 is still within reach. You have an edge over your opponents. Use it.

We are now starting to move smoothly through the 2018 season. All of us at Big Guy Fantasy Sports are intent on helping you become the champions you want to be. With our poignant articles and being the home base for the consistency theory, a sound, mathematically-based alternative to ADP, we will be with you for the 2018 season in its entirety. What happens then? That my friends, is easy. We start over and do it all again in 2019!

Over the years many readers have contacted me personally for fantasy football questions throughout the year. I look forward to helping you in your quest to win championships this year. You can contact me by email with any questions you may have on fantasy football generally, or on consistency specifically, at This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it., follow me on Twitter @mikeinsights, or join me as a member of Couch Tomatoes, my fantasy football discussion group on Facebook.

Good luck! Have fun!

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