Each week David Gautieri previews the Top 5 waiver wire adds based on the Consistency model! Follow David on Twitter at @GuruFantasyWrld
Is there anything worse than picking up a player after he has a big week just to drop him after he has a dud the next? There isn’t… so each week, I’ll be highlighting my top-5 players who I believe have staying power & can become consistent performers for your team. Here’s my Top-5 pickups (under 50% rostered) heading into Week 2:
Goedert belongs at the top of every waiver-report this week. He hasn’t scored less than 7 (PPR) fantasy points in 13 straight games… 13 straight games!! And he looks like he could be ready to make the leap after posting his first 100-yard game. If he continues to outperform Zach Ertz the next two weeks against the Rams & Bengals, I believe (as well as do 61% of 240 voters who voted on my Twitter poll) that Dallas Goedert will be looked at as fantasy’s TE4… At worst, you’re getting a starting fantasy TE with a ridiculously (& consistently) high floor. At best, you’re getting this year’s version of Mark Andrews. Prioritize him.
We don’t even have to project into the future to see how consistent Nyheim Hines can be with a defined receiving role – we can just look back to 2018, when Hines caught 63 passes, as a rookie. He was so consistent that he didn’t score less than 5 fantasy points until Week 11 & did so only twice all year (Week 11 & Week 14). On top of his ridiculously high floor, he also had 7 games with double-digit fantasy points – despite finishing the season with just 85 rushing attempts for 314 rushing yards. He did it on the back of his 63 receptions, which averaged out to 3.9 per-game. Fast forward to this past week, where he caught 8 passes & Phillip Rivers targeted IND RB’s 17 times total… it’s not hard to see that there’s a good chance Hines becomes an every-week fantasy starter going forward – and quickly.
Robinson has been consistently good for a long time now. At Illinois State, he had 165 carries for 933 yards & 12 TD’s – as a sophomore. As a junior, he had 205 carries for 1290 yards & another 12 TD’s. As a senior, he exploded for 363 carries, 1917 yards, & 18 TD’s. When he came out as a senior, he was invited to the East-West Shrine game, where he had another stand-out performance, with 136 total yards (80 rushing/56 receiving) & the longest TD in the history of the game (63 yards). When he was invited to the combine, he tore that up too. He measured in at a grissly 5’10”/220 & somehow still managed to put up a 40” vertical – a number topped by only one other RB (a RB who’s been heavily lauded for his combination of size & athleticism)… AJ Dillon. Despite all of that, Robinson somehow went undrafted. But he’s performed so well since signing with the Jags that they cited his play as one of the main reasons they were comfortable moving on from Leonard Fournette. They then gave him every single RB rushing attempt in Week 1 & 34 snaps & 17 touches to Chris Thompson’s 12 & 2. That kind of workhorse role is currently pacing Robinson for 272 touches this season (albeit after one game). If he comes anywhere close to that, he’s going to have a high weekly floor just off of volume alone – at the bare minimum.
Things get trickier after the top-3 pickups, and a lot of people might have Joshua Kelley here. But I think that McKinnon should be the preferred option after Goedert, Hines, & Robinson – for a multitude of reasons. For starters, Joshua Kelley doesn’t have a receiving role – and that makes him Latavius Murray fantasy-wise – a volatile & TD dependent weekly option. On the flipside, in San Fran, there might be worries about Tevin Coleman, but Coleman brings nothing to the offense that they don’t already have a better version of. Coleman’s a bigger, slower version of Raheem Mostert who can’t create for himself (1.4 yards after-contact last year). McKinnon, on the other hand, diversifies this offense with his dual-threat skillset, which not only helps keep the offense from going stale, but is also particularly useful with the injuries (& youth) in San Fran’s receiving core. On top of Deebo Samuel missing at least the first 3 games on IR, Brandon Aiyuk is hurt too – and he’s a rookie. George Kittle might be held out this week after suffering a knee injury too… Not only is McKinnon likely a better player than Coleman & his skillset a better complement to Raheem Mostert, but his receiving presence is desperately needed at this time. The last time we saw McKinnon with a real receiving role (2017, when he had 51 receptions), he didn’t have a single game (after Dalvin Cook went down Week 4) with less than 6 fantasy points – despite Latavius Murray handling the majority of the carries (216 to 150).
I’m tempted to put Malcolm Brown here, but part of me worries about Brown’s consistency after he similarly popped off Week 1 last year (11/53 & 2TD’s) only to not clear 11 carries, 53 rushing yards, or 1TD in any game the rest of the year. The Rams backfield situation might be different this year, and Brown could hit if Akers struggles, but there seems like a little bit more of a risk factor there to me with Akers looming & Darrell Henderson still possibly being subbed in intermittently. Campbell, on the other hand, I am ready to fully buy into. Not only is he a freak athlete (4.31 40/40” vertical), which you gotta love, but he also saw the most snaps out of Colts WR’s, with 61. Seeing 58 of those 61 snaps from the slot should help him to maintain his high catch-rate (he caught 6 of 7 targets) & on top of that, he’s got a role in the rushing game to help boost his floor too (1 carry for 9 yards). In my opinion, he’s the free-agent WR most ready to be inserted directly into your lineup.