Ron Rigney  and Colby Conway are part of a multi-sit NFL Mock Draft and gives you their breakdown on who they believe the Chargers should pick with Pick 1.17!

Welcome to the 2018 NFL Mock Draft! We have joined together with writers from a handful of other fantasy sports websites to preview the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft, from the viewpoint of how these picks will affect Fantasy Football owners. The mock draft is a slow draft, and we’ll be updating all of the picks here. You can follow it right here!

Ron Rigney and Colby Conway choose at Pick 1.17 for the Los Angeles Chargers:

Da’Ron Payne - DT - Alabama

For a team that finished 2017 allowing the second most yards per carry (4.9 ypc) and the second most rushing yards per game (131.1) in the league, getting the top run stuffer in the draft is a no-brainer.  Alabama DT Da’Ron Payne will be a welcome addition to the Chargers’ defensive front and should step in and immediately be in impact player. At 6’2” 311 lbs, he is a load, even though he appears smaller on film, mostly due to his athletic ability.  In his final season at Alabama Payne earned All-SEC honors, recording 53 tackles, a sack, an interception, and three passes defended. The knock on him is his ability to pass rush from the interior, even though he recorded 27 pressures last season. There is no question about his run stopping ability, but after watching his film and combine workouts, I believe he can be an effective pass rusher at the next level as well.  He won’t be recording double digit sack seasons, but it will be enough to pair with his run stuffing prowess and make him into a Pro Bowl caliber player for very long time.

Josh Brickner brings you his twist on how to identify potential consistency in rookies! See what factors Josh looks at it to help you pick the RIGHT rookies after this draft! Follow Josh on Twitter @joshbrickner!

2017 was undoubtedly the year of the rookie RB as 2 of the Top 5 PPR RBs, and 4 of the Top 12, were rookies. Those owners who took a chance on one or more of Alvin Kamara (RB3), Kareem Hunt (RB4), Christian McCaffrey (RB9), and Leonard Fournette (RB10) had a good chance of hoisting up their league’s trophy on Christmas. This trend of heavy usage for rookie RBs in the NFL should not only continue but increase. These rookie RBs come into the NFL with much fresher bodies than a veteran back with three to five years of wear and tear from punishing NFL hits. Additionally, with head coaches literally getting fired after winning a playoff game, the pressure for GMs and coaches (besides Hue Jackson) to win RIGHT NOW is enormous. Forcing coaching staffs/front offices to play their best players immediately instead of making a rookie earn his stripes on the bench.

Our Josh Brickner bucks the “trend” at Big Guy Fantasy Sports and tries to identify Consistency in the current rookie class at Running Backs!  Follow him on Twitter @joshbrickner.

Can Rookie RBs be Trusted Beyond 2017?

The 2017 fantasy football season was the year of the rookie running back as two of the top five PPR backs, and four of the top twelve, were first year players. Those owners who gambled on one or more of Alvin Kamara (RB3), Kareem Hunt (RB4), Christian McCaffrey (RB9), and Leonard Fournette (RB10) had a good chance of hoisting up their league’s trophy on Christmas. This trend of heavy usage for rookie running backs in the NFL should not only continue, but increase. These rookie ball-carriers come into the NFL with much fresher bodies than a veteran back with three to five years of wear and tear from punishing NFL hits. Additionally, with head coaches literally getting fired after winning a playoff game, the pressure for GMs and coaches to win RIGHT NOW is enormous. Forcing coaching staffs/front offices to play their top talent immediately instead of making a rookie earn his stripes on the bench.

Ron Rigney  and Colby Conway are part of a multi-sit NFL Mock Draft and gives you their breakdown on who they believe the Packers should pick with Pick 1.14!

Welcome to the 2018 NFL Mock Draft! We have joined together with writers from a handful of other fantasy sports websites to preview the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft, from the viewpoint of how these picks will affect Fantasy Football owners. The mock draft is a slow draft, and we’ll be updating all of the picks here. You can follow it right here!

Ron Rigney and Colby Conway choose at Pick 1.14 for the Green Bay Packers:

Josh Jackson, CB - Iowa

With desperate needs on the offensive line, cornerback, combined with a need for an increased pass rush,I believe Iowa’s Josh Jackson makes the most sense.  The top half of the first round is heavy with secondary talent, and Jackson remains the best available at this point. His eight interceptions and 27 passes defended make a strong case for him being the pick here.  His 4.56 40 time at the combine raises some concern about his ability to close the gap if he does get beat on a route, but it won’t be enough for the Pack to pass on him. His size (6’1” 192), long arms, and route anticipation will compensate for any perceived lack of speed.  Green Bay allowed opposing quarterbacks a 102.0 passer rating in 2017, and also allowed 55 completions of 20+ yards, which was sixth most in the league. A stronger pass rush could also help things tremendously, but corner is the bigger need and Jackson’s talent is tough to ignore.

Our Josh Brickner bucks the “trend” at Big Guy Fantasy Sports and tries to identify Consistency in the current rookie class at Running Backs!  Follow him on Twitter @joshbrickner.

If you’ve read either of the first two articles in this series on Saquon Barkley, Rashaad Penny, or Royce Freeman then feel free to skip ahead to the section on Kerryon Johnson. If not, please read the introduction for some context.

Can Rookie RBs be Trusted Beyond 2017?

The 2017 fantasy football season was the year of the rookie running back as two of the top five PPR backs, and four of the top twelve, were first year players. Those owners who gambled on one or more of Alvin Kamara (RB3), Kareem Hunt (RB4), Christian McCaffrey (RB9), and Leonard Fournette (RB10) had a good chance of hoisting up their league’s trophy on Christmas. This trend of heavy usage for rookie running backs in the NFL should not only continue, but increase. These rookie ball-carriers come into the NFL with much fresher bodies than a veteran back with three to five years of wear and tear from punishing NFL hits. Additionally, with head coaches literally getting fired after winning a playoff game, the pressure for GMs and coaches to win RIGHT NOW is enormous. Forcing coaching staffs/front offices to play their top talent immediately instead of making a rookie earn his stripes on the bench.

Here at Big Guy Fantasy Sports, consistency is our business. If you’re unfamiliar with the Consistency Rankings and Clutch Reports at BGFS, I recommend you take a look. Basically, a player is consistent (earns a Clutch Game) when he meets or exceeds your league’s average for points scored in a given week. A player’s Clutch Rating (CR) is based on the percentage of games he earned a Clutch Game (CG) against the number of games played. BGFS founder Bob Lung has been looking at consistency in fantasy football for 15 years, and is no fan of rookies. Bob reaches this conclusion based on the numbers; since 2010 only 30 out of 340 rookies (8.83%) drafted in the first four rounds of the NFL draft have had a Good (over 60%) Clutch Rating in their inaugural season. The running back position leads the way in rookie consistency as 15 out of 88 running backs (17%) produced a CR over 60% in their rookie season.

BGFS Daily Fantasy Blast

Sign up for a free Daily Fantasy Blast from the experts at Big Guy Fantasy Sports! Don't miss out on the best analysis in the business! Where Fantasy gets REAL!

captcha 

Site Login

Captcha

PODCASTS

Fantasy Football Consistency Show

Every week Bob Lung and Ron Rigney of Big Guy Fantasy Sports tell you how Consistency can help you win in Fantasy Football!

Expert Leagues