FANTASY FOOTBALL: 2019 Consistency Awards - WR

Bob Lung passes out the Consistency Awards to the wide receivers for 2019 Fantasy Football season! Where did your wide receivers end up? Follow Bob @bob_lung.

The Fantasy Football season of 2019 is in the books and there were many Clutch wide receivers and some, well, not so much. Therefore, in the heart of Awards season, it’s time to announce the 2019 Clutch Awards for the Wide Receivers!

 

WORST VALUE

This award goes to the wide receiver that had the highest ADP at the beginning of the season and ended the season with the worst combination of total Fantasy Points and consistency. Thus, making him the worst value at wide receiver in 2019.

And the winner is….

JuJu Smith-Schuster

While there’s a special place for Antonio Brown in this category, I believe we all know that would be too easy. So, I’m going to stay with his former team and choose JuJu Smith-Schuster. JuJu had an ADP of WR7 and looked like the easy heir apparent to Antonio Brown in Pittsburgh.  Yes, I realize that Big Ben went down in the middle of Week 2’s game versus Seattle, but Smith-Schuster continued to look solid thru Week 5 when he was at an 80% Clutch Rate (4 for 5). However, after that he only earned ONE more Clutch Game, the rest of the season, while missing four games due to injury. In summary, he ended the year ranked 65th in total points and earned a Clutch Rate of 42% (5 for 12), which ranked him 53rd. He should be undervalued heading into 2020, if he is, grab him, he will bounce back just fine.

 

BEST VALUE

This award goes to the wide receiver that had the lowest ADP at the beginning of the season and ended the season with the best combination of total Fantasy Points and consistency. Thus, making the best value at wide receiver in 2019. 

And the winner is….

John Brown

Brown went from Baltimore to Buffalo in the off-season to become the Bills “top” receiving weapon, but the Fantasy world wasn’t too excited about the move. In fact, Brown’s ADP was WR55. I personally saw him as a decent WR5 option in most 12 team leagues, but I wasn’t betting my house on him. Well, if you bought into him, you received a very nice surprise in 2019 as Brown ended the season ranked 20th in total points, but more importantly, he had an 87% Clutch Rating and was ranked THIRD overall amongst receivers. His xConsistency was at 12.77, which ranked him sixth. Right now, his early ADP is WR38. So, he’s getting some love, but not a ton. He’s a solid WR3/4 for 2020 and will be a great value.

 

ROOKIE OF THE YEAR

This award goes to the rookie wide receiver that had ended the season with the best combination of total Fantasy Points and consistency.

And the winner is….

D.K. Metcalf

In 2019, we had two rookie receivers who exceeded the coveted 60% consistency rating in their first year. Deebo Samuel was at exactly 60%, but it was D.K. Metcalf who had a more impressive rookie year with a 69% Clutch Rating and has won the Rookie of The Year award for consistency. His total points only ranked him 33rd, which was two spots below Deebo. But the two more Clutch Games was the difference in addition to the 26th spot in xConsistency for Metcalf versus Samuel’s 33rd place ranking. Now, while it is impressive that both of these receivers exceeded the coveted 60% mark, be cautious as their current ADP has BOTH of them in the Top 24 for the upcoming season. That might a be a tad overvalued at this point. 

 

CLUTCH-LESS

This award goes to the wide receiver that ended the season with a high ranking in total Fantasy Points, but his consistency was lower than expected. Therefore, making him look more valuable (due to high points rank) than he was worth to his Fantasy teams.

And the winner is….

Amari Cooper

One of my good friends in the Fantasy Football world identified Cooper as the Fantasy Locust! It was the most perfect analogy that I had ever heard. Once again, Cooper ended the year with a decent total points ranking of 10th place overall. However, his consistency at 63% only ranked him 21st in consistency. Now, I will give him some love and state that it was his best consistency season since 2016. But as is ALWAYS the case, Cooper’s current ADP is WR12 heading into 2020. Folks, let me repeat, Cooper has NEVER had a WR1 season in Consistency. So, please, I beg you, do NOT buy into the belief that “this is the year”. It’s not and never will be. In fact, Cooper and Michael Gallup had almost the same exact xConsistency and you can draft Gallup two rounds later.

 

CLUTCH-MORE

This award goes to the wide receiver that ended the season with a low ranking in total Fantasy Points, but his consistency was higher than expected. Therefore, making him look less valuable (due to high points rank) to his Fantasy teams, when he was actually worth MORE!

And the winner is….

Golden Tate

If you remember, Tate was signed in the off-season by the Giants, but was then suspended four games for some kind of “banned fertility drug”. Most people remember that part, for sure! What many people don’t remember from last year was that Tate ended the year with an 82% Clutch Rate, which ranked him fourth overall. His total points ranked him only 43rd and that’s where most folks will rank him. In the games when Sterling Shepard and Tate where on the field at the same time, Tate still earned over 70% consistency. His xConsistency was a solid 11.42 and he ended the year ranked 11th in that category. So, with his current ADP at around WR47, he will be a great WR4 value.

 

CLUTCH COMEBACK PLAYER OF THE YEAR

This award goes to the wide receiver that ended the 2018 season with a poor ranking in total Fantasy Points and consistency. However, in 2019, he had the greatest improvement in both categories making him very valuable to his Fantasy teams.

And the winner is….

Devante Parker

Parker’s breakout season was only five years in the making until he finally became the great receiver we loved during every pre-season! In 2018, Parker was ranked 106th in total points (60.90) and was for 2 for 14 for a 14% consistency rating.  The 2019 season he exploded for 246.20 total points (ranked 11th) and had an 81% Clutch Rating, which ranked him sixth overall in consistency. Now, the real question is: Can he do it again 2020? The current ADP shows very little faith in Parker repeating the 2019 numbers as his ADP is at WR37. To be honest, I believe that’s a fair spot for him and I would probably take him as my WR3 or WR4.  

 

CLUTCH MVP

This award goes to the wide receiver that ended the 2019 season with the best combination of total Fantasy Points and consistency.

And the winner is….

Michael Thomas

After last year’s tie between DeAndre Hopkins and Devante Adams, this year had a very clear winner and he was Michael Thomas. Thomas had dropped off a little in 2018 to a 75% Clutch Rating. Therefore, I liked him as WR1 for sure, but I did not expect this kind of dominance from him in 2019. He was #1 in total points and was around 100 points HIGHER than second place! He had a 94% Clutch Rate, which was easily the #1 ranking as well. His xConsistency was at 22.01 while the second place receiver Julio Jones was only at 15.90. Thomas will be the #1 receiver off the board in 2020. However, his current overall ADP of 1.04 might be a little too rich for my blood. I just can’t see Thomas repeating these numbers especially if the Saints starting rotating Brees and the other quarterbacks during the season.

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