Fantasy Baseball 2020: Consistent Undervalued - OF

Aaron Pags compares 2020 NFBC Average Draft Position to our Clutch Rate and Clutch Rate Rankings providing you with consistency targets for your H2H fantasy baseball leagues. Follow him @fantasytriage on Twitter.

Everyone in your league is looking for an edge, a piece of information that will put them ahead of the pack especially during the upcoming Fantasy Baseball Draft season. Welcome to your edge. Our team has constructed a model dedicated to highlighting the most consistent players at each position to help you win your fantasy leagues.

If you play in head to head leagues there is no substitute for a consistent point producer. Below are five outfielders that our consistency models have zeroed in on as being undervalued in relation to their current Average Draft Position. Find the consistency values in your drafts now and reap the rewards later.

 

Starling Marte: Arizona, 31yo.

OF Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

OF-13

Marte, Starling

ARZ

37.9

73%

11

On January 27, Starling Marte was traded from the Pittsburgh Pirates to the Arizona Diamondbacks for two prospects and cash. After putting up career highs in Home Runs, Extra Base Hits, Runs Batted In, Slugging %, and On-base % + Slugging %, Marte headed to west to a decidedly better team and more importantly, lineup. Starling will likely leadoff for Arizona and be followed by rising star Ketel Marte lending to an environment to set even more career highs in 2020.

For your 4th round investment, Marte will provide the consistent point production you need especially from a player with the tools he possesses. Speed, power, and a high batting average. He has all the makings of producing second-round value and being a player you can count on to give you that level of scoring nearly every week.

 

Jorge Soler: Kansas City, 28yo.

OF Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

OF-20

Soler, Jorge

KC

75.1

71%

13

All Jorge Soler did in 2019 was score the fifth-most fantasy points by an outfielder with a consistency rating of 71% that ranked 13th amongst his peers. Yet he is being drafted as the 20th outfielder. Where is the love? Soler is currently being drafted like a one-trick pony. That one trick? Consistently scoring fantasy points each week.

Jorge’s power is elite. He slugged 48 home runs last season, finally remaining healthy enough to show out for his fantasy managers. Remember, points are points and we don’t care HOW our players accrue them but do care WHEN. Soler collected those precious points nearly every week. Look for him to be one of the H2H darlings once again at his current ADP.

 

Eddie Rosario: Minnesota, 28yo.

OF Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

OF-23

Rosario, Eddie

MIN

85.6

74%

8

The Twins had a monster offensive season in 2019 and right in the middle of that outbreak was Eddie Rosario. They launched a club record 307 team home runs with Rosario tallying 32 of his own, his own personal best.

His breakout campaign was one we may have seen coming. Between 2017 and 2018, Rosario provided fantasy managers with 51 combined bombs and a batting average near .290. 2019’s home run total also came with 91 runs and 109 runs batted in. I hope you had the foresight to grab Rosario last year but if not, there is always 2020! Eddie was consistent to the tune of a 74% CR ranking 8th of all outfielders. Don’t pass up on this performer again.

 

Bryan Reynolds: Pittsburgh, 25yo.

The Pittsburgh Pirates had little to celebrate last year, going a disappointing 69-93 good for last in the National League Central. Rookie, Bryan Reynolds provided much-needed shine on a dreary season smacking 154 hits in 134 games.

While power hitter will dominate the early rounds of your H2H points leagues in 2020, Reynolds could be the late-middle round addition your roster will need to edge out your competition. His 448 fantasy points were up near the Jeff McNeil range (ADP 75.1), who is being drafted almost 100 picks earlier! Tacking on consistent performers later in the draft will do wonders for your win-loss totals. Consistency is key, unlock it with this Pirate.

OF Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

OF-46

Reynolds, Bryan

PIT

167.3

73%

9

 

Andrew McCutchen: Philadelphia, 33yo.

Eleven seasons into his career, 2019 was the first since 2009 Andrew McCutchen failed to appear in more than 145 games. Talk about consistency! He has been on the field producing at a high level far more often than not. Andrew’s torn ACL cost him all but 59 games last season.

Now, eyeing a full recovery and return to form, look for McCutchen to continue his consistent output for the Phillies. At only 33 years old, time isn’t quite on the heels (or knees) of this former 1st round pick. When, not if, Andrew McCutchen slots back into the Philadelphia lineup he will far outperform his current slot...by a ton.

To find his 25 home run and 10 stolen base standard season you only have to look back to 2018. McCutchen is my favorite value on this list because of his minimal cost. Round out your outfield with one of the most consistent players at the position for the last decade-plus.

OF Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

OF-51

McCutchen, Andrew

PHI

192.7

60%

26

 

Be sure to check out all of the positional ADP vs CR breakdowns by our fantasy baseball writing team to ensure you don’t pass up on consistency at any point in your drafts. Filling your roster with these types of steady assets will give you the weekly advantage over your opponents in head to head leagues in 2020.

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