Fantasy Baseball 2020: Consistent Undervalued – 1B

Ron Rigney compares 2020 NFBC Average Draft Position to our Clutch Rate and Clutch Rate Rankings providing you with consistency targets for your H2H fantasy baseball leagues. Follow him @therealmaday on Twitter.

Who doesn’t love a good bargain?  Cars, cell phone carriers, clothes, and of course first basemen!  At bigguyfantasysports.com not only are we trying to find you the most consistent options, we want you to get the most consistency for your buck. 

Below I’ve targeted five options at first base that will provide you with consistency in your head to head matchups, but also come at an ADP that each player should outperform.

 

Matt Olson - Oakland Athletics

Pos. Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

1B-4

Matt Olson

Oak

54.7

85%

2

Would you have guessed Olson as being the second most consistent first baseman in our rankings from 2019?  Most people would have gotten the whammy on that one (search up the game show Press Your Luck youngsters).  Olson was driven far down draft boards heading into 2019 as a broken hamate bone caused him to miss the first 35 games of the season.  Drafting a player coming off an injury that is notorious for sapping power in a big way is tough.  If you were able to stash him, or even claim him on waivers (like me!), he was a difference maker exactly when you needed it most.  Nothing about his .267/.351/.545 slash, 36 home runs, or 50% hard contact rate indicates he had any issues coming off the injury.  Despite these numbers, he is still available in the middle of round five.  I am drafting him anywhere I can, and trading for him in any dynasty possible.  Getting the second most consistent player at a position that has become largely inconsistent the past few seasons is a huge win.  The Matt Olson Bandwagon is a crowded one in 2020, but there is room for you too!

 

Jose Abreu - Chicago White Sox

Pos. Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

1B-8

Jose Abreu

CWS

68.4

71%

8

I like to think of Jose Abreu as your go to restaurant when it’s impossible to make a decision on where to go Friday night..  It may not be your favorite, but you know you’re always going to get something solid and you’re going to leave feeling as though you made a great decision.  Abreu isn’t flashy, and he may not be my preferred choice when it comes to this position.  However, if I leave 2020 drafts with him as my first baseman, I’m going to have a cozy feeling knowing the consistent production I am getting.  In each of his six seasons, Abreu has failed to play less than 145 games just one time.  His home run total has reached 30 or more in four of those seasons.  While it would be nice to see him walk a bit more, we are nitpicking a career .293/.330/.503 hitter.  With the influx of young talent the Sox figure to add around him as 2020 rolls on, he should have plenty of RBI chances and with an ADP putting him in round seven, Abreu comes with plenty of consistent value. 

 

Max Muncy - Los Angeles Dodgers

Pos. Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

1B-6

Max Muncy

LAD

48.7

61%

12

You’ll find Muncy a little further down our rankings from 2019, but that doesn’t mean you shouldn’t expect a consistent 2020 from the slugger.  He does require a pick a few rounds earlier than Olson and Abreu, but I still feel it’s good value for what you’re getting.  The Dodgers added that Betts fellow from Boston, and he’s supposed to be pretty good.  Add him to an already potent lineup, and Muncy should provide counting stats galore hitting in the middle of it.  His .251 average makes him a tad less attractive in BA leagues, but that .375 OBP he posted in 2019 makes him a hot commodity in that format.  You can lock in 30 plus homers, 100 runs, 100 RBI and even a couple of steals for 2020, fully justifying the late fourth/early fifth round pick you give up to get him.  Did I mention he carries eligibility at first, second and third base in most leagues?

 

Carlos Santana - Cleveland Indians

Pos. Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

1B-10

Carlos Santana

CLE

123.5

79%

4

Santana is a guy that I’m not as high on heading into 2020.  If you take a look at his seasons, 2019 is a bit of an outlier.  He has always been an attractive OBP option since he walks as much as he strikes out, but the sudden surge in BABIP and hard contact from his career norms, .293 and 43.3% respectively will be tough to repeat.  Even if he regresses a bit back to career norms, he is still an excellent value.  Just count on him being a tad more expensive in OBP formats.  In BA formats, he is a helpful DH, or corner infielder, just make sure you have batting average taken care of before taking him off the board in round 13.  

 

Luke Voit New York Yankees

Pos. Rank

Player

Team

ADP

Clutch Rate

CR Rank

1B-17

Luke Voit

NYY

190

60%

11

Diving a bit deeper here, Voit is an option much much later than the other players mentioned.  Let’s hope you have your first base spot filled by pick 190, but if for some reason you slip up, or you’re looking for corner infield, Voit is a great option.  His 2019 slash of .263/.378/.464 is what you can expect this season.  His 21 homers should increase, as I expect much more than 118 games out of him since he appears to be in line for regular AB’s, albeit at the bottom of the lineup.  Then again, it is the Yankees lineup, which is full of capable bats that can get on base for the big fella to knock them home.  For a pick this late, 11th in consistency is impressive, and there’s no reason he can’t be even more consistent in 2020.   

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