Fantasy Baseball 2020: 1B - Consistency Preview

Ron Rigney shares the most consistent first basemen of 2019 and his rankings for 2020.  Follow him @therealmaday.

Just a few short years ago, 25 homer-hitting first basemen were something that could be easily found on the waiver wire at almost any time during the season.  Oh how times have changed!  So what if the dingers aren’t as plentiful from the position currently, there is still plenty of value to be had.  If you play your cards right, you might even find a handful of steals!

Depending on team construction, it would be wise to have first base taken care of in the early rounds to maximize your production from the spot. The earlier you have first base covered, the more categories you will get contributions from.  If the spot gets away from you in the draft, don’t worry, there are some cheap guys that can man the position for you, and not kill you in any one category.  

Without further ado, I will break down the position with my rankings heading into 2020 while giving you my favorite targets for each tier.  Here is the scoring system the ranks are based on:

Hit

0.5 pts

HR

4 pts

R

2 pts

RBI

2 pts

SB

2 pts

If you want to see who are the most consistent players in your league, go here and enter in your own scoring methods: https://www.bigguyfantasysports.com/phpcalcs/mlb/index.php


Tier One

These three guys are the clear cut cream of the crop at the first base position.  You’ll get huge production from any of them, but to me there is one I would rather have above all others. Not only are they three of the top total point producers, they are some of the most consistent as well.  

Player Name

Team

FP Rank

CW

WP

CR

CR Rank

xCon

Rank

Cody Bellinger

LAD

1

20

24

83%

3

26.32

1

Freddie Freeman

ATL

2

19

24

79%

4

23.63

2

Pete Alonso

NYM

3

22

24

92%

1

26.85

3


I wouldn’t mind having any of the three on my team, and a case can be made for each based on current ADP.  My choice?  Freddie Freeman all day long.  He has been the definition of consistent since taking over the job in Atlanta.  Bellinger is too expensive for me, but those stolen bases he provides are hard to turn down.  Will Alonso match his production from his rookie season?  It’s not out of the question, but I’m expecting a bit of a dip in those lofty numbers.  However, not enough for him to not be included in the first tier. 

Tier Two 

These guys are just below the big three in terms of total points and consistency.  This tier has some excellent options if you want to wait a bit.  My favorite first baseman for 2020 resides in this one as well.  

Player Name

Team

FP Rank

CW

WP

CR

CR Rank

xCon

Rank

Matt Olson

OAK

13

17

20

85%

2

22.19

4

Anthony Rizzo

CHC

12

13

24

54%

20

12.56

5

Max Muncy

LAD

10

14

23

61%

13

15.2

6

Paul Goldschmidt

STL

11

15

24

0.63

11

14.78

7

Jose Abreu

CWS

7

17

24

0.71

9

18.4

8

Josh Bell

PIT

4

18

23

0.78

7

21.79

9


Matt Olson is going to man the first base spot on the majority of my teams. I love his current ADP, and he has a chance to deliver production that could propel him into tier one heading into 2021.  He does everything, and if you were able to stash him until his return last season, it probably got you into the playoffs at the very least.  Beyond him, there are some cheaper and consistent options in Rizzo, Abreu, and Muncy.  There is some excellent value in this tier. 

Tier Three

Here’s where the dropoff starts.  There are a couple of interesting cases in this tier.  If you have let first base go this long in your draft, it’s not a lost cause.  Understand though, this tier contains some aging guys that I expect to regress from their 2020 outputs.  

Player Name

Team

FP Rank

CW

WP

CR

CR Rank

xCon

Rank

Carlos Santana

CLE

5

19

24

79%

4

20.65

10

Yuli Gurriel

HOU

9

14

24

58%

15

14.1

11

Michael Chavis

BOS

37

9

16

56%

19

11.53

12

Edwin Encarnacion

CWS

14

15

19

0.79

6

21.65

13


Chavis is one of my favorite late rounders at any spot.  In 95 games he swatted 18 homers, drove in 58, and posted a .254/.322/.444 line, which could be better, but was better than I had expected from him after his call up.  Gurriel and Santana were highly productive, and both were consistent, but I’m not optimistic their 2019 level of production follows them into 2020.  

Tier Four

It begins to get gross here, so be prepared.  Hopefully you aren’t relying on anyone in this tier as your starter.  However, there are some excellent options for your middle infield and utility spot.  

Player Name

Team

FP Rank

CW

WP

CR

CR Rank

xCon

Rank

Christian Walker

ARI

19

13

24

54%

22

10.82

14

Dan Vogelbach

SEA

22

14

24

58%

17

11.31

15

Wil Myers

SD

70 (OF)

11

24

46%

61

7.07

16

Luke Voit

NYY

25

12

20

60%

14

12.20

17

Joey Votto

CIN

29

9

23

39%

40

6.59

18

Eric Hosmer

SD

16

13

24

54%

21

11.32

19

Nate Lowe

TB

69

2

11

18%

66

2.14

20


I’ll go full on homer and say Nate Lowe is a solid option if he can stay in the lineup.  The problem is he struck out at a nearly 30% clip in 2019, and it is the Rays.  They constantly mix and match, but Lowe is a solid later round option from this tier.  Dan Vogelbach is coming off a 30 homer season, and figures to DH in Seattle.  He’s lower for me in leagues that use batting average, but he posted a .341 OBP in 2019, and at this point in the draft, you can’t have everything.  

Let’s take a look at the scatter plot for 1B to highlight those who are consistent and inconsistent.

 

There you have it. First base is traditionally a power position, so if you want to be Mayor of Ding Dong City, don’t wait too long.  Along with that pop, there is plenty of consistency to be had! 

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