Each week David Gautieri previews the Top 5 waiver wire adds based on the Consistency model! Follow David on Twitter at @GuruFantasyWrld
We’re officially half-way through the fantasy year! Consistency trends are stacking up & we’re getting a real idea about which guys we can (& can’t) count on. Let’s take a look at some adds for Week 9 who could become consistent performers in your lineups:
The fact that a WR as consistent as Davis has been is still available in more than 50% of leagues heading into Week 9 really is 2020 in a nutshell. He got lost in the COVID shuffle, but after one-half of the fantasy season, he’s one of just 3 remaining WR’s who have seen 5+ targets & double-digit (PPR) points in 100% of their games – the other two being Jamison Crowder & Stefon Diggs. His slate of upcoming games (CHI/IND/BAL/IND) will be a real litmus test on his viability in tougher matchups, but if he can show enough in those matchups, it’s going to be full-steam ahead as he finishes the year with matchups against the Browns, Jaguars, Lions, and Packers.
The hope here is that by the time Mark Ingram is ready to come back from his high ankle sprain, the Ravens are already fully committed to Gus Edwards & JK Dobbins. It’s not like Edwards & Dobbins haven’t shown enough to have earned it, so we’re really just banking on rational coaching here. Edwards has always been one of the most efficient runners not just in the league, but in the entire history of the NFL. That means that despite my previously voiced concerns about his (lack of a) receiving role (my bad!), he’s a must start with the current volume he’s seeing with Ingram out. If the Ravens do commit to him & Dobbins down the stretch, Edwards finishes the year with matchups against DAL, CLE, JAX, & NYG.
In 5 games played, Zack Moss already has two separate games with 3 receptions. He has two duds – the game he got hurt (Week 2 @ MIA) & his first game back (Week 6 vs KC). The other 3 games? He’s finished with 11.7, 10.2, & 20.1 fantasy points. He overtook Devin Singletary in snaps this past week (31-28) after seeing just 5 less snaps than him the week before & he appears to firmly be the Buffalo RB to own going forward.
We’re halfway through the season & the Colts weekly high-scorer at TE still hasn’t scored less than 7.9 (PPR) points in a single game yet… That leading scorer has been Burton the past 3 games (he’s played 4 games) & after this week’s tough BAL matchup, there isn’t a tough matchup again until Week 16 against PIT. Jack Doyle’s & Mo Alie-Cox’s presence is certainly not a positive, but right now Burton is seeing enough snaps on his own (44 this past week) & creative involvement (rushing TD’s in consecutive games) that it’s worth continuing to ride him until he gives us a reason to do otherwise. He has 8+ PPR points in 3 straight games.
George Kittle has missed 4 games in Ross Dwelley’s career (Week 10 vs SEA & Week 11 vs AZ, 2018, as well as Week 2 @ NYJ & Week 3 @ NYG this year). In those 4 games, Dwelley has put up lines of 3/24, 4/14/2, 1/5, & 4/49 (in addition to this past week when Kittle left mid-game & Dwelley caught another TD). We’ll call that two hits & two misses (or 3 hits & 2 misses if you wanna include Dwelley getting a TD this past week as a “hit”). That might not seem overly “consistent,” but when you look at the consistency numbers across the TE position, it is – at least relatively. Jordan Reed looms, but honestly, I’ve factored him into too many equations only for him to disappear for me to continuing believing his presence will have any sort of lasting effect at all. Dwelley should be usable, especially if he shows a connection with another backup – the now starting QB, Nick Mullens.