Each week David Gautieri previews the Top 5 waiver wire adds based on the Consistency model! Follow David on Twitter at @GuruFantasyWrld
It’s that time of year! Consistency trends are starting to stack up & we’re starting to get a real idea about which guys we can count on. Still, it’s early enough where some trends are flying under the radar. Let’s take a look at some adds for Week 7 who I believe offer the most potential to become consistent performers in your lineups:
I put Justin Herbert in this column immediately after his first start & I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t at least a little worried it was going to backfire on me… because rookie QB’s do generally tend to be inconsistent. But I stuck by my mantra, which is – “Rule #2 is to NEVER invest in rookie QB’s. But Rule #1 is to invest in running QB’s NO MATTER WHAT.” And it’s worked out so far (even though Herbert’s rushing TD-potential hasn’t quite yet shined through). Since I classify Tua as a running-QB as well (just barely), I’m sticking to my guns. His mobility is going to give him a rushing floor to cover-up his poor passing weeks, and if he’s even 75% as productive as Ryan Fitzpatrick has been for this team, there aren’t going to be many poor passing weeks. I will continue to drink the rookie Kool-Aid, and if I’m poisoned by it, so be it.
Let’s talk about the 49ers RB production. Week 1, Raheem Mostert scored 25.1 fantasy points while Jerick McKinnon also scored 13.4; Week 2, Mostert scored 18.7 while McKinnon scored 13.7; Week 3, McKinnon scored 16.7 while Jeff Wilson scored 21.9; Week 4, McKinnon scored 22.7; Week 5, in a blowout loss against Miami, Mostert scored 14.9... a hell of a lot of fantasy points are coming from the San Fran RB room on a weekly basis… and we saw it again this past week when Mostert was on his way to another high-score with 9.6 points mid-way through the Rams game, only to get hurt again. The team turned to Jerick McKinnon like they had before, but they also surprisingly got JaMycal Hasty involved too, giving him 9 carries, which he took for 37 yards. Hasty is already an outlier of an athlete, with a 39” vertical & 4.03 (!!) shuttle. Now, he’s got a chance at staking his claim for more playing time in a potent system that can support 2 backs… If he does end up earning consistent touches in this system, I have very little doubts that you will feel comfortable consistently slotting him into your starting lineup.
I wonder if the allure for Tim Patrick is somewhat lost because of his simple name? Because when you put the talking aside & just look at the numbers – dude’s consistent. 4+ targets in every game this year. 4+ receptions in 4/5. A TD in 2 of the last 3. And 2 straight 100-yard games. Giddy up.
Cole Beasley is another guy who’s production you’d probably care a lot more about if I just didn’t tell you his name. He’s quietly scored in double-digit PPR points in 5 straight games (!!) & the one game he didn’t hit double-digits? Week 1 – where he scored 9.8.
Indy's highest-scoring TE of the week hasn't scored less than 7.9 points in any of their 6 games...Week 1, 7.9 (Doyle); Week 2, 16.1 (Alie-Cox); Week 3, 14.0 (Alie-Cox); Week 4, 8.3 (Alie-Cox); Week 5, 8.3 (Burton). Week 6, 21.8 (Burton). Combine those 6 weekly-highs & you get TE8 in PPG, behind only: Kittle, Kelce, Waller, Jonnu, Fant, Tonyan, & Andrews. If you’re willing to take the leap & assume that Trey Burton is the TE that Indy wanted to feature all along, that means he’s going to capture the majority of those weekly highs going forward. That kind of assumption (which I’m willing to make) would make Burton not just worth an add, but also a near-automatic start on a weekly basis.