Each week David Gautieri previews the Top 5 waiver wire adds based on the Consistency model! Follow David on Twitter at @GuruFantasyWrld
Is there anything worse than picking up a player after he has a big week just to drop him after he has a dud the next? There isn’t… so each week, I’ll be highlighting players who I believe have staying power & can become consistent performers for your team. Here’s 5 players I wanted to highlight heading into Week 5:
At a certain point we need to put aside our pre-conceived notions about what consistency is supposed to look like. Rookie QB’s may typically be inconsistent, but look at the facts: Justin Herbert is QB10 over his 3 starts (QB13, QB19, & QB7 weekly finishes). He hasn’t thrown for less than 290 yards in any of his 3 starts & has yet to have a game without a passing TD. He’s startable even in 1QB formats & seems to be getting better with each passing week.
Damien Harris is a solid add too, but we’re talking about consistency here. Harris – as good as he looked on Monday Night – unfortunately just doesn’t have any sort of a receiving role (whatsoever, at all, in any shape or form) right now. There’s obviously a ton of room for him to grow in that area, but right now, he has Sony Michel’s old thumper role – he’s just doing a better job at it. As long as James White (and even, currently, Rex Burkhead) continue to operate as the Patriot’s receiving-options out of the backfield, it’s going to subject Harris to the peaks and valleys that come with rushing yardage/TD-dependency, and will limit him to RB2 upside. Harris also has a bye Week 6 (after a matchup with the Broncos this week) & then matchups with the 49ers & Bills the two weeks after that, so we could legitimately be looking at one good week out of him over the next month. Edmonds, on the other hand, has out-produced Kenyan Drake as a receiver in all 4 games, has scored 13+ fantasy points in 2/4 games, and saw a season-high 38% the snaps last week. Something is clearly off with Kenyan Drake, and he got dinged up again this past week. If Drake’s forced to miss time for any reason, or continues to underperform, Edmonds is just a few more snaps & carries away from becoming a consistent RB2/flex option. He’s a solid consolation for those who miss out on Harris.
Almost every rookie has their inconsistencies, but we don’t have to exclude them! Higgins hasn’t seen less than 6 targets in any of the last 3 games & he’s operating as the No. 2 WR on a team that’s currently 2nd in the NFL in passing attempts per-game. It doesn’t take a genius to tell you that volume & consistency are intertwined (which is why they let guys like me do it). Higgins has been the WR28 in PPG over the last 3 games & his 117-target pace would have ranked 24th in the NFL last year – tied with Darren Waller. His next two matchups against Baltimore & Indianapolis aren’t particularly enticing, but look at the home stretch… in Weeks 11, 12, 13, & 14, Higgins faces WAS, NYG, MIA, & DAL.
Robert Tonyan & Dalton Schultz
It’s really splitting hairs between these two TE’s. Your only chance at Schultz being available is probably in 10-team leagues, but if you’re able to snag either of these TE’s off waivers, you win. Tonyan probably has the lower floor on a team that’s more apt to turn to the run-game, but he also has the higher ceiling in an offense that’s got just one elite WR talent to compete with compared to the three Schultz has to compete with in Dallas. Aaron Rodgers & Dak Prescott are both top-5 in passing yards & top-6 in passing TD’s through 4 weeks & don’t look to be slowing down any time soon. There’s just so much meat on the bone in each offense that it’s going to be hard for either TE to ever really get left out of the party.