Draft season is closing fast, and now is the time to identify the best Fantasy football ADP winners before the NFL opener. Average draft position shifts quickly in the final weeks, especially after preseason performances, injuries, and roster changes. Some players are skyrocketing up boards while others fall behind. The following breakdown highlights the running backs, who are key risers who could provide excellent value in your fantasy drafts and fallers who could burn you at their current ADP.
Chase Brown – Cincinnati Bengals
Consistency Ranking – RB 5 / Current ADP – RB 10
Undervalued
Brown finished 2025 as our fifth most consistent RB, with an 82% clutch rating as he tallied 14 clutch games in 17 tries. In keeping with his career trend of slow starts, the three non-clutch games came between Weeks 2-6. From Week 7 on, he was one of the most consistent options in football.
Heading into 2026, based on his current ADP, Brown is an early-round value. Depending on how your draft falls, Brown could end up being your RB2, and there’s no reason he can’t deliver an RB1 return. He’s a key piece of one of the most explosive offensive units in the league, which will create an abundance of targets in the passing game. In 2025, Brown saw 88 targets in the passing game and hauled in 69 passes for 437 yards and five touchdowns. His rushing stats have hovered just around the 1k yard mark, which is valuable, but that passing game contribution is going to be the X-factor.
Brown sits as one of the biggest early RB values there is. Yes, there is some concern about the offensive line, and the Bengals have a tough schedule, but there’s enough talent here, and around him to return that RB1 capital that you’re looking for.
Tony Pollard – Tennessee Titans
Consistency Ranking – 38 / Current ADP – RB 28
Overvalued
It’s not that we at Big Guy Fantasy Sports don’t like Tony Pollard; we just believe his current ADP is a bit pricey for what you’re getting. In 2025, Pollard posted his fourth consecutive 1000 yard season. What’s notable about that stat is he’s joined by Derrick Henry as the only other player to do it. With eight clutch games out of 17, Pollard finished tied for 30th in our end-of-season clutch rankings.
Tennessee’s success on offense hinges on a couple very important things. Brian Daboll is the new OC in town, which should have an immediate impact. Most crucial will be the year-two development of former first-overall pick QB Cam Ward. I am a believer in Ward, but the Titans’ offensive line is consistently ranked as one of the worst in the league. As much as I like his potential, the O-line is going to make it tough for Ward. This hurts Pollard’s value a bit. Tyjae Spears figures to swipe the third-down work, and the defense also ranks near the bottom of the league heading into the season. Game script could steal snaps from Pollard, who figures to be the early down guy.
There are plenty of red flags here that make Pollard a risky option. If you can get him as your RB3 or a FLEX, we like that quite a bit more than an RB2. I’m not expecting much improvement, and there could even be some regression.
R.J. Harvey – Denver Broncos
Consistency Ranking – 21 / Current ADP – RB 31
Undervalued
Harvey’s season got off to a slow start as he ceded time to RB1 J.K. Dobbins in Denver. Once Dobbins was ruled out for the year in Week 11, Harvey took the volume and became one of the most consistent backs over that span. The rookie finished just 47% consistent on the season, but keep in mind five of those clutch games came in the final six games of the season. Harvey led all rookie RBs in total touchdowns with 12, despite seeing just over 200 touches.
Heading into 2026, the Broncos’ backfield is extremely crowded as Harvey will join the aforementioned Dobbins and rookie Jonah Coleman. The Denver offensive line is elite across the board, and whoever gets the ball in the offense will have fantasy relevance. We know Sean Payton knows how to use his pieces to their full potential, and Harvey should still see plenty of chances even with the competition he faces. Dobbins has actually missed more games than he’s played in his career, so it’s a safe bet he will miss time at some point.
We don’t like Harvey as your RB2, so hopefully you can get him a little closer to that RB31 ranking he currently owns. If he clears a path to more carries on first and second down, there’s no reason he can’t finish as a high-end RB2, or even push into that low RB1 category by season’s end.
