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Every week, Colby Conway and Bob Lung use the Forecaster Consistency Tool to help you win your Fantasy Football Prop Bets! Follow them @colbyconway and @bob_lung. If you are looking for some weekly NFL player props, you’ve come to the right place! Plenty of player props are out there, but Bob Lung and Colby Conway share their favorite props to target for this week’s NFL action.
You can apply the consistency concept to player props, just as you do in daily fantasy sports and seasonal fantasy football, so find consistent players to maximize your chances of winning.
NFL Week 6 – Prop Picks – 10/17/26 – Prop It Like It’s Hot!
Week 6 – NFL Prop Picks
Josh Allen OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-132)
-132 odds for this? I know Allen only has seven passing touchdowns through five weeks, but come on! The Raiders are one of just six teams to allow at least 11 passing touchdowns through the first five weeks, and the Bills have a team implied point total pushing 30 points! Buffalo’s defense isn’t great, and if the Raiders keep it close, we should see a big day from Allen, including at least two passing scores.
Nico Collins OVER 73.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
In the three games Collins has played this season, he’s put 75, 118, and 56 yards, good for an average of 83 yards per game. Collins has put up 100+ yards in five straight matchups against the Jaguars, and Houston will likely go pass-heavy again to move the ball. The Texans haven’t run the ball well all year; Jacksonville is strong against the run and more vulnerable through the air, so why wouldn’t we see another game with 30+ pass attempts for Stroud?
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Spencer Shrader, Indianapolis Colts OVER 1.5 Field Goals Made (-138)
Kicker prop! Shrader is 16-for-16 on field-goal attempts through five weeks, and he’s handled at least three field-goal attempts in all but one game this season. This is a game that Indy should be able to move the ball and sustain drives, and ultimately, if they just take the points when they can, they’ll come out victorious. The Colts have an implied total of around 25 points, and they are touchdown favorites, so it should be another productive day for Shrader with no weather issues.
Jacoby Brissett – OVER 7.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
I realize that Brissett doesn’t run often. But his offensive line and poor quarterbacking decisions will come into play this week against the Rams defense. In the last two games, Brissett has rushed for 18 and 19 yards, respectively. The Rams are giving up the third-highest quarterback rushing yards per game so far this year. Therefore, the 7.5 rushing yards doesn’t seem too difficult to reach this week.
Kirk Cousins – OVER 251.5 Passing Yards (-111)
The Bills have given up over 269 yards to every quarterback this year, except so far. They rank 31st in passing yards allowed per game at 296. The Raiders defense isn’t much better, so we expect a shootout, or at least plenty of garbage time for Cousins and the Raiders.
Jalen Nailor – UNDER 23.5 Receiving Yards
Surprisingly, Nailor has only one game this year with over 23.5 receiving yards, and that was Week 1. He’s had a couple of zero games along the way. So I was surprised to see 23.5 receiving yards as a prop. I took the UNDER with this one. This team has too many mouths to feed.
Find and follow @colbyconway and @bob_lung (@JKeasy stepping in this week) on X! And thanks for joining us for our Week 6 NFL Prop Picks and Best Bets!
