Each week, Ron Rigney uses the Consistency Forecaster tool from Big Guy Fantasy Sports to help you make the right call on start/sit advice and football strategy!
Week 4 – NFL Fantasy Start/Sit: QB
QB – Start – Tyler Shough – NO vs. ATL
Shough is a must-start every week at this point, so this will most likely be the last time you see him in this article. The Falcons are in the middle of the pack when it comes to fantasy points allowed to QBs, but take away the Week 1 game against Old Man Aaron Rodgers (221 yards) they’ve allowed 287 and 312 yards passing in the last two weeks, respectively. Shough has gone for at least 250 yards in each game and threw four TD’s last week vs. Detroit. This should be another big week.
Sit – Jalen Hurts – PHI vs. LAR
I’m not a Hurts guy anyway, and so far he has two clutch games, but his performances haven’t been stellar. He’s not a terrible start this week, but if he’s not rushing for TDs, his value takes a hit. The Rams have been good against fantasy QBs and haven’t given up more than 205 yards in a game thus far. He could eke out enough production for a clutch game here, but I’m not expecting much more.
Week 4 – NFL Fantasy Start/Sit: RB
RB – Start – Bucky Irving – TB vs. GB
The entire TB offense has been hugely disappointing this season. Now they head into battle with an undrafted rookie QB against a Packers defense that has been good against opposing QBs. That said, offenses have been able to run on them, and TB will need to lean on Irving until Mayfield returns. The volume should be there, but hopefully the game won’t become too lopsided in GB’s favor, as that might favor Kenny Gainwell a bit more. I look for Irving to reach the end zone as the Pack has allowed the most rushing touchdowns in the league with six.
Sit – Ollie Gordon II – MIA @ MIN
Did anyone else feel like that scene in The Dark Knight where Joker sets the entire pile of money on fire when you were bidding on Ollie Gordon, or was that just me? Gordon became the first FAAB darling of the season, but let’s not get carried away. We don’t know how the split will look between him and Jaylen Wright, and it’s a bad matchup. Minnesota has been one of the best in the league against the run, not allowing any opposing RB more than 47 yards on the ground. If you have to start him because of injury (like me), hopefully he can catch a few passes and maybe even score. Look elsewhere if you can.
Week 4 NFL Fantasy Start/Sit: WR
WR – Start – Terry McLaurin – WAS vs. IND
It’s been a rough start to the season for Terry Targets, but he did finally record his first clutch game in Week 3. Since last season, McLaurin has had some solid fantasy outings with Marcus Mariota running the offense, including four clutch games. Since allowing 150 receiving yards to Zay Flowers in Week 1, Indy has tightened up their pass defense a bit. However, I still don’t fully trust it, and with two bad defenses here, there could be plenty of fantasy goodness in this game.
Sit – Ladd McConkey – LAC @ SEA
What the hell happened to the Chargers? I don’t want to start any of them, and luckily I don’t have too many. This matchup has bad news written all over it. Seattle is poised for a good home game after laying an egg in Washington last week. McConkey has just one clutch game in three tries and only one touchdown this season. The entire offense is struggling, and I don’t look for them to get back on track this week. Terry McLaurin recorded 77 yards against them last week. Beyond that, Seattle hasn’t allowed more than 51 yards to any other WR.
Week 4 NFL Fantasy Start/Sit: TE
TE – Start – Tucker Kraft – GB vs. TB
Tampa Bay has allowed the tenth most points to the position over the first three weeks, including 78 yards and a touchdown to Mike Gesicki. Kraft has to get going at some point, right? This should be the week he does just that. I’m not expecting huge numbers, but he should get enough for a clutch game and finally pay off fantasy owners.
Sit – Mark Andrews – BAL vs. TEN
The Titans have been surprisingly good against the TE, with just 11 grabs for 48 yards, and have been stout against the pass overall. Zay Flowers looks to be fully back this week, even though he is taking it easy in practice. Andrews clearly takes a backseat to Flowers when he’s healthy, and this week should be no different. After a huge Week 1 against Indy, Lamar Jackson has had two straight ho-hum outings, and this week could be tougher than you might expect for the Ravens’ passing game.
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