Football
ADP Fantasy Movers this week: Dak Prescott is Rising!
Welcome Back! Big Guy Fantasy Sports is thrilled to bring you another year of the best in NFL consistency rankings and championship fantasy football strategy.
Average Draft Position (ADP) moves weekly due to news and player actions. To stay up to date on the fantasy ADP movers each week, keep reading below.
We’re almost halfway through July and more than halfway through the 2025 year. It’s amazing to think that we’re only eight weeks away from NFL kickoff!
Keeping an eye on ADP (average draft position) for players reveals several fantasy ADP movers this week. Some weeks are slower than others, but this past week we received several big news pieces on players that have driven their ADP up or down.
Keep reading, and let’s dig in on some relevant information you need to know! Also, sign up today to get full access to all the tools available at BGFS!
Fantasy Football ADP Updates (with consistency) – 7/14/2025 Fantasy Football: ADP
QB Dak Prescott DAL Fantasy ADP MOVERS.
Right now, the fantasy community is raging on about where the quarterbacks rank among each other. Dak Prescott is among those as he’s the quarterback for “America’s Team”, the Dallas Cowboys. When healthy, he’s been great, and there’s a lot to like this year in Dallas.
Last season, Prescott only appeared in eight games, his lowest total since 2020. As injuries added up, his season got turned upside down. He finished as QB20 in points per game (15.6) and only managed a 25% Clutch Rate (CR). We don’t have to go back far, though, to see the upside for Prescott. In 2023, he finished as QB3 overall and QB4 in points per game (20.7, among QBs who played more than 5 games).
More Big Guy Fantasy Football
- Nick Chubb Signed With Houston: Fantasy Or Fiction?
- Undervalued Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
- 2025 Undervalued Fantasy Football Quarterbacks
- The Best 2025 NFL Sophomore Quarterback Breakout Factor!
(ADP +5.1, pick 138.1, Rostered 63.5% on ESPN redraft/snake)
The Cowboys recently traded to bring in a WR2 for Prescott, in George Pickens. He has had at least 800 yards receiving and 50 receptions all three years he’s been in the league. In 2023, his best season, he finished as WR30 overall with 63 receptions, 1,140 receiving yards, and 5 receiving touchdowns. Over the past two seasons, the second-leading wide receivers in Dallas were Brandin Cooks (WR45) and Jalen Tolbert (WR59). Pickens is an upgrade, as is Javonte Williams as the new starting running back (52 receptions last year).
Prescott is up 5 spots this week in ADP to 138.1. That makes Prescott the QB14 in drafts and a selection in the 11th round. Prescott will rebound this year as the Cowboys continue to let him throw a lot. In his last two healthy seasons (16 and 17 games played), Prescott has averaged 593 passes per season. That volume, with the addition of the new pass catchers, gives Prescott a low-end QB1 floor.
RB Najee Harris LAC
Over the past week, we got some bad news for Najee Harris. It was reported that he sustained a superficial eye injury during a 4th of July fireworks accident. Fantasy managers are left trying to figure out how bad it is. So far, he’s down over 3 spots in ADP this week (-3.2).
One of Harris’ biggest pluses is that he hasn’t missed a game in 4 seasons. With news of this injury, his streak could end this season. However, throughout his career, Harris has never finished lower than RB20. That despite sharing a backfield with Jaylen Warren over the past few seasons. Even if healthy, it appears Harris will share a backfield this upcoming season with the Chargers’ 1st round draft pick, Omarion Hampton.
(ADP -3.2, pick 132.1, Rostered 76.7% on ESPN redraft/snake)
Over Harris’s career, he’s averaged 45 receptions a season. That’s given him a great floor for fantasy football. Rookies have notoriously had problems with pass protection, and Hampton is no different. His scouting reports mention that as a skill he needs to work on. With that in mind, Harris will see the majority of passing down opportunities until Hampton can get that figured out.
Until I hear otherwise, I believe this situation is a full-blown running back by committee. Harris is the veteran back who’ll get touches and, at a minimum, be a thorn in Hampton’s side. At a cost of an 11th-round pick, he’s someone to target if you missed out on running backs early. Right now, he’s RB41, that’s too low.
RB Quinshon Judkins CLE
The Cleveland Browns seem to have had some bad luck over the past few seasons. This past weekend, we got news that Quinshon Judkins was arrested for domestic violence charges. We won’t know the severity of this situation for a while, but so far Judkins is down almost 3 spots this week (-2.7).
The talent is overwhelming, and the Browns made him the 4th pick in the 2nd round of the 2025 NFL Draft. Judkins’ athleticism score of 92 ranked second in his draft class among running backs (he was 5th overall at running back in total score for Next Gen Stats). All 3 years of college, he had at least 1,200 yards from scrimmage and 16 touchdowns while averaging 5.1 yards per carry.
(ADP -2.7, pick 64.5, Rostered 91.3% on ESPN redraft/snake)
The Browns let Nick Chubb go over the offseason, but also drafted Dylan Sampson in the 4th round along with Judkins. Jerome Ford, the leading rusher in Cleveland last season, is still there as well. With the current legal status of Judkins, we won’t have a clear picture of how this plays out soon.
I wasn’t one of Judkins’ biggest fans before the legal issue. I don’t believe in the Browns’ current situation on offense, and I think they’ll struggle to score. In the 5th round, as RB22, his current price is too high for me. I hope, in the end, he can get this all sorted and be a better person for it.
RB Kaleb Johnson PIT Fantasy ADP MOVERS.
Let’s touch on another rookie running back, Kaleb Johnson. He’s a round 3 pick out of Iowa who’s lost a little steam over the past week as one of this week’s ADP fantasy movers (dropping over spots at -2.2). As the season nears, it appears that the Redraft crowd is less enamored with the rookies than those engaged in Best Ball or Dynasty formats.
Johnson’s prospect Next Gen Stats total score came out to 76. That made him RB10 in that statistic amongst his draft class. Despite that ranking, the Pittsburgh Steelers drafted him as the 5th running back off the board in this year’s NFL Draft. He’ll be set to face some competition for touches. Jaylen Warren, who shared time over the past few seasons with Najee Harris, is still in town. Warren has averaged 11.5 touches per game over the past two years.
(ADP -2.2, pick 84.5, Rostered 83.8% on ESPN redraft/snake)
Not only has Warren averaged a good share of touches per game, but he’s also had a vocal crowd calling for him to be the starter. When the Steelers let Harris walk, the thought was that Warren would take over. But the Steelers’ drafting of Johnson has split fantasy managers. Johnson profiles as a 3-down running back. He averaged 21.83 touches in his final year at Iowa while setting the single-season school record for touchdowns with 23.
As I’ve mentioned throughout this article, the theme is pass protection. And just like the others, the incumbent veteran has the edge in that. Johnson is talented enough that he’ll eventually take the majority of a split, but I can’t see him being a full workhorse. Not with Warren around. At his 7th round cost, he’s around Jameson Williams (83.8), Tony Pollard (83.5), and Chris Olave (97.6).
RB TreVeyon Henderson NE
I have targeted TreVeyon Henderson in every draft so far this offseason, but haven’t had much luck. He’s one of my favorite rookies this season, but without a top-4 pick, I haven’t been able to secure him. He was the 6th pick in the 2nd round for the New England Patriots (only 2 picks behind his college teammate, Quinshon Judkins). That made him the 4th running back drafted in the 2025 NFL Draft despite being ranked 2nd in Prospect Grade by NFL.com (6.38, behind only Ashton Jeanty).
Henderson displayed incredible athleticism across four years at Ohio State. He scored a 92 for his Next Gen Stats athleticism, which ranked 1st for running backs in this year’s draft class. He also averaged 6.9 yards per touch over 667 touches (590 carries and 77 receptions) on his way to 4,614 total yards.
(ADP -2.0, pick 86.9, Rostered 83.9% on ESPN redraft/snake)
An NFC Director of Scouting said, “They LOVE, LOVE him in that program. He’s unselfish, really productive, can play on all three downs and is about the team first.”. Sounds like the Patriots got themselves a steal who will challenge Rhamondre Stevenson immediately for playing time. Henderson’s playmaking ability makes him a perfect addition to Josh McDaniels’ offense.
Unlike some of the other rookie running backs, Henderson is getting rave reviews from camp for his pass protection. Greg Bedard from Boston Sports Journal noted, “(TreVeyon) saw a slot blitz coming from Marcus Jones and seamlessly crossed the formation and picked it up. Rookies usually can’t do that at this stage. No Redshirt for him.” Between skillset and athleticism, I’m happy to take him ahead of running backs Kaleb Johnson (84.4) and Isiah Pacheco (83.7), and even former teammate Quinshon Judkins (64.6).
TE Dallas Goedert PHI Fantasy ADP MOVERS.
The Philadelphia Eagles have talent at almost every position, which is a big reason why they won this past Super Bowl. Tight end Dallas Goedert fits in like a glove. He’d easily be a top target on other teams, but the Eagles already have all-world talents A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith at wide receiver.
He won’t be a top-2 target on his team; that hurts his fantasy value. However, Goedert was tied as TE10 in points per game last year. The year before, he was TE12 in the same metric. He had a 60% CR in 2024, good enough for 6th amongst all tight ends. Goedert has averaged at least 5 targets per game every year for the last 4 seasons.
(ADP +1.4, pick 142.7, Rostered 70.6% on ESPN redraft/snake)
Goedert figures to remain a vital part of the Eagles’ offense, and last season he showed his big-play potential. His eight 30+ yard receptions were 3rd amongst all tight ends (George Kittle led all TEs with 11). This is even more impressive considering he missed 7 games.
Last season, A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith both missed 4 games. Even if they can stay healthy, it’s automatic for Goedert to expect 5+ targets per game. With that volume and his big-play capability, he’s a value as the TE14 off the board. He’s not the sexiest name to draft, but his metrics and the offense he plays in make him a legit TE1 in fantasy leagues who’s drafted in the 11th round.
Fantasy ADP rises and falls quickly with new updates. Check in again next week for more ADP Risers and Fallers series! On X, follow me, @JKeasy, as we can discuss moving ADPs, sleepers, and much more!
Got Your Big Guy Football Consistency Report Yet? Fantasy ADP.
