Football
Fantasy Wide Receivers: Justin Jefferson’s that guy!
Welcome Back! Big Guy Fantasy Sports is thrilled to bring you another year of the best in NFL consistency rankings and championship fantasy football strategy.
Fantasy Wide Receivers have been creating a lot of buzz in recent years. Multiple triple-crown winners, elite production. This season, you need to know which wide receivers are going to be extreme values.
When drafting a team, it’s best to use tiers to determine positional and player value. For fantasy wide receivers, it’s no different!
I took a look at some of the best determining factors to find which wide receivers are the best current values in fantasy drafts.
Keep reading, below are the four fantasy wide receivers I chose to highlight based on ADP and key information for your fantasy drafts. Also, sign up today to get full access to all the tools available at BGFS!
Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Recommendations – 7/9/2025 Fantasy Football: Consistency
WR Justin Jefferson MIN
The Minnesota Vikings let their QB1 walk last season. Sam Darnold will now be making starts in Seattle. However, this was all a part of the plan as the Vikings have J.J. McCarthy as their heir apparent at quarterback. Some fantasy footballers are taking this as a bad thing for Justin Jefferson. Not me, Jefferson belongs in the elite tier of fantasy wide receivers.
Jefferson is currently WR2 and going at pick 4.3. Throughout his career, he has been WR2, WR26 (injured for 7 games), WR1, WR4, and WR6 (rookie season). He’s never had fewer than 100 targets in a season, even in 2023 when he only played 10 games. His per-game averages are 9.48 targets, 6.43 receptions, 96.52 yards, and 0.52 touchdowns. His yards per game mark is the best of all time, clearing 2nd place, Ja’Marr Chase, by almost 10 yards (87.5).
More Big Guy Fantasy Football
- Nick Chubb Signed With Houston: Fantasy Or Fiction?
- Undervalued Fantasy Football Wide Receivers
- 2025 Undervalued Fantasy Football Quarterbacks
- The Best 2025 NFL Sophomore Quarterback Breakout Factor!
Not impressed? Let’s talk consistency. Jefferson had an 82% CR (Clutch Rate) last season, 14 of 17 games came in as Clutch Games. Despite playing with less-than-ideal quarterbacks over his career (Kirk Cousins, Sean Mannion, Nick Mullens, Joshua Dobbs, Jaren Hall, and Sam Darnold), he still has a 77.92% CR. FYI, Chase clocks in at 75.81% for his CR.
In fantasy, there’s a lot of stacking (drafting a team’s QB/WR/TE together), especially as Best Ball has gotten more popular. This makes Chase and Burrow a sought-after duo. But Jefferson continues to outshine everyone; he’s that GUY! Every year, you’re getting a high-end chance at a Triple Crown WR (leads the league in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns). WHEN TO TARGET: Your 1st Round Pick (ANY)
WR Nico Collins HOU
I love this one, and you’re probably realizing that these are “my guys” at fantasy wide receiver. Nico Collins has legitimate WR1 overall upside. His target competition consists of Christian Kirk, Jayden Higgins (a rookie whom I also regard highly), and Jaylin Noel (another rookie). Without Tank Dell and Stefon Diggs, we’re going to see another target jump for Collins this season.
Last season, Collins averaged 8.25 targets, 5.67 receptions, 83.83 receiving yards, and .58 receiving touchdowns per game. He scored 18.4 points per game, tying him for 7th with CeeDee Lamb (amongst WRs who played more than 7 games). He also finished WR7 in points per game in 2023 at 17.4.
As for consistency, Collins finished last season with an 83% CR. Good for 4th amongst all WRs, ahead of Puka Nacua, Amon Ra St. Brown, and Justin Jefferson. He had a WR2 or better finish in 66.7% of his games in 2024, and 50% of those games as a WR1.
Diggs has moved on to New England, Dell is out for the year, and Collins is primed for a target share jump. He’ll see 125+ targets this season (his career high is 109), and that’ll lead to a top 4 wide receiver finish. WHEN TO TARGET: Late 1st Round (I would only take Jefferson, Chase, and Malik Nabers at WR ahead of him)
WR Rashee Rice KC
This one is tied to the fact that I believe Patrick Mahomes has a bounce-back season. Travis Kelce is a year older (contemplated retiring), and one fantasy wide receiver stands out in the K.C. room. Rashee Rice. Mahomes makes him a legit WR1 this season with the dark-horse potential to be WR1 overall.
Since the Chiefs’ bye week in 2023 (week 10), Rice has averaged 9 targets, 7.1 receptions, 84.8 receiving yards, and .5 receiving touchdowns per game (minus week 4 in 2024 when he got hurt). During the first 3 games of 2024, he averaged 21.63 points per game, which would’ve ranked as WR2 behind only Ja’Marr Chase for the full season.
In that same time frame, Rice has a 90.9% CR. He finished as a WR2 or better in 72.73% of those games. Only two of his games during that stretch were WR3 or worse (he had a 35th and 43rd overall finish in those two games). His floor is extremely safe, and his ceiling is the top wide receiver in football.
Rice’s ADP is 44.5 overall, meaning he’s drafted in the mid-to-late 3rd round. He’s the 17th wide receiver off the board. That’s way too low; he’ll easily finish ahead of fantasy wide receivers drafted ahead of him, such as Terry McLaurin (WR15), Tyreek Hill (WR13), and Tee Higgins (WR11). He’s my WR6 overall. WHEN TO TARGET: Mid 2nd Round (Early 2nd if WRs went heavy early)
WR Stefon Diggs NE Fantasy Wide Receivers.
For the second season in a row, Stefon Diggs is changing teams. This year, he finds himself in New England joining the Patriots. Unlike last year, where it was unclear how he fit in Houston, this year it’s clear that Diggs was brought in to be the WR1 for the Patriots.
He’ll turn 32 in November this season, but the good news is he appears to be targeting week 1 for his availability. Diggs has been at camp, and he even met up with Drake Maye and other teammates for a throwing session in Tampa. Over the past five seasons, Diggs is the 6th leading wide receiver in yardage at 5,868.
Last season was the first time in five years that Diggs didn’t clear 100+ targets (due to injury). Before injury, Diggs was having a good season last year, averaging 15.2 points per game. That had him ranked as WR18 in points per game. Before last season, Diggs had four consecutive overall top 10 WR finishes (WR3, WR7, WR4, and WR9).
This year, he joins a receiving core that failed to have a single player earn 100 targets last season. Diggs will have no problem eclipsing that total and obliterating his ADP of 106.6 (late 8th round). Maye to Diggs will feed families in fantasy this year. WHEN TO TARGET: Early to Mid 7th Round
Fantasy wide receivers’ third-year breakouts and waiting on rookies are a thing of the past. Click “Draft” on any of the players I mentioned above and enjoy the value! Follow me on X, @JKeasy, as I’d love to hear from you, and will follow back! For even more consistency, click the banner above to buy the Consistency Guide by Bob Lung!
Got Your Big Guy Football Consistency Report Yet? Fantasy Consistency
