Football
2025 NFL Quarterback Advanced Fantasy Football Analytics
Welcome Back! Big Guy Fantasy Sports is thrilled to bring you another year of the best in NFL consistency rankings and championship fantasy football strategy.
Bob Lung takes you to the next level by analyzing and separating the Quarterbacks with similar consistency and identifying who is more valuable to your NFL Fantasy Football teams.
Consistency in Fantasy Football is a very important factor in helping Fantasy owners make more informed decisions on who to draft and who to start/sit during the season. If you’re new to the Consistency concept in Fantasy Football, I highly recommend reading some of the Introduction articles located on the home page. If you’re already a reader and follower of the site, then you were introduced to this new concept last year.
The calculation is called: xConsistency.
You can find & follow Bob on Twitter at @bob_lung.
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The xConsistency Formula:
(Total Fantasy Points Scored / Total Games Played) X Clutch Rate
The xConsistency factor will separate two players with similar Consistency but different Total Points Score due to either fewer games or Clutch performances with fewer points scored. For example, let’s take a look at two players last year with similar total points:
| Player Name | Total Points | Rank | Total CG | Total GP | CR | xCon | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | 320.50 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 60% | 12.82 | 8 |
| Bo Nix | 366.95 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 59% | 12.74 | 9 |
Here’s an example from last year’s stats. Brock Purdy and Bo Nix were 14th and 8th, respectively, in total points, but their points per game and consistency were so high that they ended the season ranked eighth and ninth in xConsistency. This means they should be a great value in the later rounds.
Now, we’re going to look at a group of quarterbacks that are currently ranked in the Top 15 in xConsistency and pick out some players that may surprise you.
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Advanced Fantasy Football Analytics
The xConsistency formula and 2024 chart above help provide a truer value for Consistency. Its role is to help Fantasy owners find a new edge in their draft planning. The Clutch Rate isn’t dead by any stretch. And should continue to be used in your analysis during your draft prep and weekly start/sit decisions.
