In his weekly "On-Deck Circle" exclusively at BGFS, Ron Rigney gives you the skinny on prime MLB Prospects that could be at the show soon. Follow him on Twitter @TheRealMaday.

With the trade deadline just days away, the Hot Stove has heated up after being relatively quiet to start the year, and more is sure to be on the way.  With the likes of Sonny Gray, Giancarlo Stanton, Justin Verlander, among those being discussed as moving, it could be a busy next few days.  With the ODC this week, we will shift a bit from solely players who can help you this season (which I will still do my best to find), to players to target heading into dynasty formats in 2018.  For trade deadline week, we take a look at Rockies infielder Brendan Rodgers, and Braves starter Lucas Sims.

BRENDAN RODGERS

Rodgers was selected at number three in the 2015 draft behind fellow infielders Dansby Swanson and Alex Bregman.  The most attractive part of his game is the power he brings to the middle infield.  With 19 home runs in 2016 and a combined 17 thus far between Single – A and Double – A, including an ISO of .300 in 222 Single – A plate appearances, the pop is clearly there.  The K% has hovered mostly around 20%, but dropped to 14% at Single – A as well.  His hit tool projects he will be a power bat, but also should hit for a solid average.  His career slash of .305/.358/.419 supports that. On the defensive side, most scouts agree his arm is above average, yet his defensive skills are a bit below his arm.  However, his skill set in the field is believed to be good enough to keep him at either shortstop, or second base, with second being the likely landing spot.  While it is not out of the question he could see some time at Triple – A this season, his debut will most likely happen in 2018.  It is possible he could make the club out of Spring Training, but a more possible scenario would see him called up after the season is in full swing.  If he can continue the performance at Triple – A we will see him sooner rather than later. 

LUCAS SIMS

I know, I know, you are tired of seeing Braves in this column, but their farm system is LOADED.  Sims has been dominant this season in Triple – A after having some control issues in 2016, where he walked 92 batters in 141 innings, which translated into a 6.66 BB%.  The 2.69 BB% he has posted so far in 2017 is much improved, and is over a large sample size. His K% has always been over ten and this year is no different with 124 in 110.1 IP, which equals an 11.37 K%.  The 79.7% strand rate is the highest of his career.  Scouts agree his mid – 90s fastball is his best offering, followed closely by his curveball, which both can be used to get outs.  His changeup is still developing, and while a decent pitch, needs some improvement to catch up to the other two.   The former first rounder could see some time in the Braves’ rotation this season, as he has dominated Triple – A.  Sims is 23, so he is still young, even though it seems he has been in the Braves’ system forever.  For now, he should be stashed in dynasty formats, and should be added to your watch list, just in case he sees time in Atlanta. 

Bob Lung guides you through the Perfectly Consistent Draft with the help of FantasyPros.com Draft Simulator and the Tier Draft List in the 2017 Fantasy Football Consistency Guide! Follow him on Twitter @bob_lung

Fantasy Draft Day can be one of most exciting or most horrifying days in a Fantasy owner’s life each year! It’s exciting for those who prepare by spending hours of going through magazines, websites, etc. It’s horrifying for those who don’t have time to prep because LIFE gets in the way.

Well, worry no more, my friends! I’m here to help you give you a winning draft, REGARDLESS of the position that you choose from!

My friends at FantasyPros have some great tools to help you in your Fantasy Football draft preparation. One of them is the Draft Simulator. I am going to use this tool in conjunction with a tool from the Big Guy Fantasy Sports site called the Tier Draft List. The Tier Draft List is a one page Excel file that groups each position by Tier (RB1, RB2, etc.) and then separates the Tier into Grade A, B, C and D. Each Tier correlates to an Expected Consistency Rating or how consistent that player should be in 2017. This is explained in the Guide.

By utilizing the Draft Simulator, I will perform a mock draft from each position and present the results as ranked by the FantasyPros expert rankings. Upon presenting that the mock draft results are ranked #1 by FantasyPros, I will also show you why it’s a great draft because of the consistency ratings of the players I drafted.

We start with a mock draft from position: PICK #3

{mprestriction ids="10,11,13"}

The Results

Below is the embed code from the FantasyPros site showing the results:

 

 

As you can see from the results, the team drafted ranked #1 by the FantasyPros expert rankings. And while, that’s certainly important that our drafted team scores more points than any other team, it’s also important that the players are consistently scoring those points.

Roster with Consistency Rankings

Pick #

Player

Position

Tier Draft

ECR

   

1.3

Antonio Brown

WR

WR1A

85%

   

2.1

Todd Gurley

RB

RB1B

70%

   

3.3

Jarvis Landry, MIA

WR

WR1A

75%

   

4.1

Larry Fitzgerald

WR

WR2B

70%

   

5.3

Drew Brees, NO

QB

QB1B

75%

   

6.1

Jimmy Graham

TE

TE1B

70%

   

7.3

Tevin Coleman, ATL

RB

RB2A

65%

73%

Starters

8.1

Pierre Garcon, SF

WR

WR3B

65%

   

9.3

Martavis Bryant, PIT

WR

WR3B

65%

   

10.1

Derrick Henry, TEN

RB

RB3C

60%

   

11.3

Marcus Mariota, TEN

QB

QB1B

65%

   

12.1

Giovani Bernard, CIN

RB

RB4D

55%

   

13.3

Taylor Gabriel, ATL

WR

WR4C

50%

60%

Bench

14.1

Jacksonville Jaguars

DEF

       

15.3

Stephen Gostkowski, NE

K

       

 

Overall, the consistency is very good for this team. The Starters overall consistency is 73%! That’s outstanding! If your starters can average over 65%, that’s a solid team. The Bench scoring a 60% consistency average is also a very good. (Note: There is no consistency ratings for Kickers and Defense).

So, let’s break down the starters.

STARTERS

One thing that I always stress to Fantasy owners is to make sure that you draft your CORE starters (1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR and 1 TE) within the first seven rounds (depending on your league starter lineup). Many will argue and throw out their “crazy” strategies like ZERO-RB or four straight WR’s or no QB’s until Round 8! Whatever! Don’t be that person!

The starters all have a grade of Tier 1-3 and Grade of A or B. 

The wide receivers of Brown, Landry and Fitzgerald are crazy consistent! The Tevin Coleman pick is still solid in a PPR format. Or if you can grab someone like Danny Woodhead, that’s a nice RB2 PPR as well.

This is very important to try and get these tiers for your top seven starters.

In summary, this is an excellent draft for starters with a #1 ranking by FantasyPros and a consistency rating of 73%.

BENCH

Drafting a solid and consistent bench is just as important as your starters. Yes, there will be underperformers and injuries, but by having a consistent bench when they’re playing gives you depth for possible trades to improve your starters, in case one of them get injured.

In this draft, I have covered a backup to all positions. This doesn’t always happen in most drafts but seeing Julius Thomas in Round 14 was too good to pass up.

In summary, the FantasyPros ranking was #2 overall, but more important is the 60% bench consistency rating. I feel much better about that and allows me to feel good about the start to the season.

OVERALL

The FantasyPros ranking of 94 out of 100 and an A rating says it all! This is an excellent draft, both in total points and consistency!

If you’re interested more in the Tier Draft List and Fantasy Football Consistency, go to www.BigGuyFantasySports.com and we will help you improve your Fantasy teams in 2017!

{/mprestriction}

Colby Conway shares those players who look good on “paper” but could hurt your Fantasy teams with inconsistency in 2017. Follow him @colbyrconway.

 

Let’s get back into the fantasy football conversation! Don’t be the guy to overpay for inconsistency because at the end of the year, the one and only Bob Lung will be looking at you, shaking his head in disapproval. Don’t let that happen. Find out all of Bob’s thoughts in this year’s Fantasy Football Consistency Guide! Need even more reason to get it….

Bob Lung’s 2017 Fantasy Football Consistency Guide is available for your viewing pleasure. Check it out here (http://www.bigguyfantasysports.com/index.php/subscriptions/2017-plans/subscription-plans) and use my exclusive discount code TEXANS when purchasing! Don’t miss out! Follow up your fantasy baseball championship with a football title!

Alex Smith, KC QB – When it comes to managing the game, Smith is the poster boy. He scored more than 20 fantasy points in just three games on the year, and was held under 13 points on eight occasions. He routinely throws the ball near the line of scrimmage, and his 6.7 yards per attempt mark was better than only Minnesota’s Sam Bradford. Unless a playmaker on the Kansas City offense does something after the catch, big yardage and eye-popping numbers will elude the veteran signal caller. Over the last four weeks of the year, his yards per attempt number jumped to just under 10, but don’t expect that for the entirety of the 2017 season. He’s best suited for leagues that require two quarterbacks, but even then, I would look elsewhere. In terms of consistency, the only things he does consistently is throw the ball short, offer minimal fantasy value and miss at least one game during the year. Bob Lung disapproves and so do I.

Rob Kelley, RB WAS – Fat Rob scored nearly one-fourth of his total fantasy points in one game last year. Whilst that game was impressive (137 yards, 3 TD in Week 11 against Green Bay), consistency and Rob Kelley are never placed in the same breath. His 2016 role will likely be larger than his role this year, and even then, his clutch rate was under 30 percent. A good mark is no lower than 60 percent. Kelley is a bruising back who is essentially invisible in the team’s passing attack. Chris Thompson will continue to catch passes from Kirk Cousins and rookie Samaje Perine appears poised to handle a sizable role in the Washington ground attack. His ADP offers very minimal value and the upside just isn’t there with a crowded Washington backfield. If Bob Lung is staying clear of this situation, then I am, too.

Stefon Diggs, WR MIN – The inconsistency from Diggs doesn’t necessarily come from his skillset, but more so his quarterback, Sam Bradford. Bradford doesn’t drive the ball down the field often, but when he does, it’s to Adam Thielen. Diggs’ clutch rate of 54 percent is near that 60 percent threshold, and Thielen’s rests at 53 percent. However, the larger story lies with Bradford’s second half rapport with Thielen. Over the last eight games, Thielen registered six clutch games to Diggs’ three. Thielen posted an average of 14 yards per reception and 16 catches of 20 or more yards, while Diggs posted marks of 10.8 and 10 respectively. Diggs is a reception machine, but it’s hard to ignore the fact that he posted just five top-30 fantasy weeks. The young wideout doesn’t find the end zone often and after Week 10 of the season, his single-game high in receiving yards was 59 yards on eight receptions against the Cowboys. At his ADP, it simply isn’t worth it. Heed Bob Lung’s advice and hold off on Diggs.

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Big Guy Fantasy Sports Network

BG Baseball

As BG Baseball and the BGFS Network get ready for the move to Fantrax, Jon Impemba & Rob Trayah will give you all one final round of Fantasy Baseball analysis headed into the MLB All Star Break. Former host Nate Miller will join the guys about halfway through this episode to talk first-half disappointments then discuss all the details surrounding the launch of the ALL NEW Fantrax Radio. It's been a fun ride over the past six months for everyone that's been involved with BG Baseball. Thank You all for listening and be sure to check out the Big Guy Fantasy Sports Show hitting Fantrax Radio in a couple of weeks. The BGFS Network - Where We Keep Fantasy Real!!!

Consistency Cast

The Consistency Cast presented by Big Guy Fantasy Sports makes its debut on Fantrax Radio this week. On this Episode, Bob Lung & Nate Miller discuss results from their recent mock drafts and Bob's team in the popular Scott Fish Bowl leagues. Then, the guys will take a look at early ADP trends, particularly ones with which they disagree or are surprised by. Players such as Todd Gurley, Jay Ajayi, Doug Baldwin, Robert Woods and others will be highlighted in this 30-minute edition of The Consistency Cast. The BGFS Network - Where We Keep Fantasy Real!!!

The Nasty Cast

On this week's episode of the Nasty Cast, hosts Nathan Dokken and Van Lee are joined by an old friend, Nasty Cast founder Jesse Jordan! It's not you're regular episode either, as the boys forego fantasy baseball to instead discuss a little TV program called Game of Thrones! They give their top 5 moments, Discuss their families' crest and motto, predict what is going to happen in the show this year, and dive deep into theories and ideas. A very special event happens at the end of the show, as Nathan somehow got his hands on the show's final script! Listen and find out how it all ends. You can find the fellas on Twitter @NastyCastBGFS, @NathanDokken, @ManlyVanLee, and @Mrjessejordan. Stay tuned later this week as Ron joins Van and Nate back in the studio for more baseball and follow their written work at bigguyfantasysports.com. The BGFS Network - Where We Keep Fantasy Real!!!

Big Guy Fantasy Sports Network

Hello all and welcome to the Big Guy Fantasy Sports Network! Big Guy Fantasy Sports presents the All New BGFS Network - a collection of weekly Fantasy Football & Baseball podcasts featuring hosts Nate Miller, Bob Lung, Brad Wallace & Jon Impemba.

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Rob Trayah started writing for RotoWire, continued at Fantasy Alarm, and now contributes to BGFS with his deep interest in...

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Ron Rigney brings close to 20 years of playing fantasy sports, in all different formats to the BGFS team. A...

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Nathan is the host and co-creator of the Nasty Cast Fantasy Baseball Podcast. He also writes for Fantistics Insider Baseball...

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The man, the myth, and the legend that is Van Lee continues to grow every day. Whether it’s complaining loudly...

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